Jacob Sensiba, Author at The Free Financial Advisor

The Factors Causing Inflation

December 1, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

It’s no mystery. Inflation is becoming a problem. We thought it might be an issue a while ago when the economy started to come back and the FED continued easing. The FED then said the inflation was transitory, meaning it would only be here temporarily until it went back down to pre-pandemic levels. That no longer looks like it’ll be the case. What are the factors causing inflation? Is there a major force behind it? What are the industries that’ll be hurt the most and which industries will be unfazed?

Demand returns to normal

There are several factors causing inflation. Because of the pandemic, we saw demand evaporate instantly. Then, as vaccines started to roll out, demand started to pick back up again. Also, in the middle of the pandemic, the government sent out three stimulus payments and increased unemployment benefits. People realized what it felt like to bring in more money and sought out better-paying jobs, or demanded higher wages. Demand picked up and people started to make more money, so they had more disposable income.

The wage/price loop

The recovery got going, but the FED continues to buy bonds and keep interest rates low. What also happened was the supply chain crisis. Prices went up because demand stayed the same and supply dried up. There’s also a wage/price loop that takes place. Wages go up, so companies raise prices to make up for the increased cost of wages. Increased prices create wage pressures. Wages go up. Then prices go up to make up for the increased cost of labor. And so on.

What industries are affected?

There are several current industries and product lines that are being affected by inflation. The most notable is gasoline. But I don’t need to tell you that. I’m sure you’ve noticed when you go to fill up your tank. A lot of food items have also increased a bunch since before the pandemic. To be honest, I can’t think of many industries that aren’t affected by inflation. I would assume if you provide a service you can be more flexible with your charges.

Competition decreasing?

Something else that’s being said is industries are becoming increasingly centralized, so there’s less competition. If there’s less competition, companies are able to do what they wish with their product offerings and their prices. I really don’t know if that’s the case or not. I would think not because the current administration said they were going to limit anticompetitive practices, but who really knows what they’re actually going to do.

Related reading:

What Currently Presents a Risk to Markets?

What Does an Increase in Yield Look Like?

Why Financial Literacy Matters

Disclaimer:

**Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Securities America Advisors, Inc. Securities America and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice; therefore, it is important to coordinate with your tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation. Please see the website for full disclosures: www.crgfinancialservices.com

Big Tech Moving Into Finance

November 24, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Big tech wants a bite of the financial services pie. I think technology and finance go hand in hand, but I also think it’s mostly a one-way street, in terms of benefits. Technology has definitely given the financial services industry an upgrade, but the finance industry tends to think of big tech as a threat. Why is that? Today, we’ll take a look at big tech, how they’re changing financial services, and if those big banks actually have something to worry about.

What do you mean by “Big Tech”?

The names you know off the top of your head. Apple and Google to name two, but there are other players that don’t get as much publicity. Cloud storage from Amazon and/or Microsoft. Software companies like Oracle. Chipmakers like Nvidia. Data companies like IBM. There are a lot of moving parts and it’s no surprise, everything uses technology. What’s different about financial services is the regulation, so adoption of new technologies is typically slower.

How tech changed finances

From a consumer standpoint, banking is easy. Checks are deposited directly into your bank account. You use your bank’s app to review expenses and deposit any real checks you may have. Practically all bills are able to be paid electronically. Not to mention you can automate bill payments and transfers. Also, if you want to save for retirement or invest some money, there are several companies that can do it all online (though we always advise you to speak with a person for advice).

Big tech in finance moving forward

Big tech is already offering some financial products. Google has Google Pay, Samsung has Samsung Pay, and Apple has Apple pay. Apple is also working on a Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) offering, but nothing is out yet.

Big tech will be able to compete with legacy financial services companies because they have a competitive advantage. They don’t have the regulatory oversight that current companies do and they have a customer base (and their data) that they can leverage with new offerings.

Parting thoughts

Do I think several big tech companies will come out with financial services offerings? No. I think there will be a select few that come out with some, but I don’t think it’ll be the scale of Wall Street, for example. I think it would behoove big tech and other large companies to remember that being a conglomerate doesn’t work right now. Just this year, there were several companies that split their business up, based on industry (like GE). Could the conglomerate model come back around? Absolutely, but I don’t think now is the time.

How to Teach Children about Budgeting through Holiday Shopping

November 17, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Teaching kids about money is a worthwhile endeavor no matter what time of year it is. Holiday shopping might be one of the better times to take them to school, though. Here are some ways to teach children about budgeting through holiday shopping.

You can take your time

Because of the internet, the majority of the shopping is done online. You are able to take your time and actually show them what you’re doing and why you’re doing what you’re doing.

Let’s say you’re on a website and you’re buying several things for your family members (as long as it’s stuff for them…no spoiling surprises). The items in your cart total $200 and your budget per person is $50. With those numbers, you’re able to show your children that you’re buying for 4 people. You’re able to show that you set a number and you’re sticking to it.

Saving money

With spending comes saving. Another item you can incorporate when teaching your children about budgeting is saving money.

Our family has a separate savings account specifically for holiday spending. We determine how much we’re going to spend per person and add up how many people we’re going to buy for. Then we take that total and divide it by 52 (for 52 weeks in a year). The next thing we do is take the total from that equation and set up an automatic transfer from checking to holiday savings. That way, we have the money saved and ready when we start buying gifts for people. That enables us to continue with our normal budget and financial plan without eating into our regular cash flow.

How to teach

I think there are a lot of parts of the holiday season that you can model for your children. When you walk into a store, there’s typically someone outside ringing a bell for the Salvation Army. That could be a good opportunity for you to teach your children about paying it forward and giving it to someone less fortunate than them.

You could give your children $20 or some other dollar amount of your choosing. With the money you gave them, you could give them some options. Buy something for yourself, buy something for someone else, or split up the money and buy for a few people. Depending on what they do, it could be a good opportunity for your to teach them about thinking of others instead of thinking about yourself.

Disclaimer:

Set a Holiday Budget That Works

November 10, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

With the holidays right around the corner, it’s time to get your shopping and holiday preparation done. That means you’re going to have to spend money. The holidays can be rather expensive for people. Especially, if you have a lot of people to buy gifts for, you have to travel, or you’re hosting a party. Here are some tips on how to set a holiday budget that works for you.

Start by asking some questions

If you want to make progress, it all starts by asking questions.

How many people do you have to buy gifts for?
Would your friends or family be open to a gift exchange?
Do you have to travel?
Do you have to host a part?
Would you be open to a potluck?

Having answers to these questions would help a lot when budgeting for the holidays. While we’re here, you should ask these questions far in advance so you can save throughout the year.

Budgeting

For example, you have 10 people to buy gifts for. How much do you want to spend on each person? Do you want to spend more on your parents than you do on everyone else? Let’s say you plan on spending $50 per person. That’s $500 worth of gifts. If you save $10 per week, you’ll have enough saved for gifts in your holiday budget.

Traveling

Knowing ahead of time if you have to travel is useful too. Then you can be picky about your flight, but buying in advance is usually more economical than waiting until the last minute.

When it comes to buying your plane tickets, it might not be a bad idea to put them on a credit card and pay off the balance right away. When you do this, you’ll show some activity to the credit card company, show an on-time payment, and accrue some rewards points.

Planning ahead

Another point about planning ahead – supply chains are disrupted and products are more expensive. If you plan ahead, you a) allow enough time for your purchases to be sent to you and b) you’re able to find deals on the things you want to buy.

Decorating

When it comes to holiday preparation and decoration, it might make sense to get a few items to get you through this holiday season, and then when everything goes on sale, load up for next year.

Gift exchange

A gift exchange could relieve a lot of financial pressures during the holiday season. If you get a group together and establish a budget, you could enjoy the gift-giving and receiving process without breaking the bank. You could also have fun with it and make the gift exchange a white elephant, where you buy gag gifts instead.

Buy Now, Pay Later

One last thing you can keep in mind. With the rise in popularity of Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL), you might want to consider it if your finances are tight. BNPL gives you the ability to spread payment over several months. Be careful though, you can get into trouble if you start missing payments, and your credit can take quite the hit.

The holidays can be expensive, but if you plan ahead it doesn’t have to have an impact on your wallet. Set a holiday budget that works for you.

Disclaimer:

How to Prep your Finances Before you Quit your Job

November 3, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

There are a lot of jobs open right now. Maybe you’re not particularly happy in your current role so you’re looking for other opportunities. Before you leave, you need to make sure you have your affairs in order. Here’s how to prep your finances before you quit your job.

Some things to make note of first.

Plan Ahead

If you want to quit, but don’t have anything lined up yet, get that process started ASAP. There may be a plethora of jobs available right now, but that doesn’t mean you’re going to get one right away.

Ideally, you’ll have an accepted job offer before you quit your current job, but that won’t apply to everyone.

You could be leaving a hostile work environment, you could have a bad work/life balance, or you’d like to explore different opportunities.

That’s why you must do your best to always be prepared because you never know what is going to happen. You can’t predict the future.

Before you quit your job, here’s what you have to do.

Have Money Saved

Make sure you have money saved. You truly don’t know how long it’s going to take to find another job. That’s why I say you should have one lined up before you quit your current job. That’s also why the common advice is to have 3-6 months of living expenses saved in case you lose your job.

It’s also important to see what’s out there. As I mentioned in the beginning, there are a lot of jobs available, but that doesn’t mean you’re going to find a better one. Do your research.

Prep Your Finances

If you want to be able to have less liquid money available, work on your expenses. Cut down where you can. If you’re servicing debt, get it paid off so you don’t have that liability sitting out there. If you don’t have any liabilities, you remove the chance that you’ll miss a payment (which is bad for your credit score). Your credit score is important in today’s economy, especially when looking for a job.

Back-Up Plan

Whether you are exploring a different field entirely or looking for a better role in your current industry, it’s a good idea to have something to fall back on. Even with a record number of job offerings, the job market is still unpredictable. Make sure you have a contingency job picked out that matches your skillset and expertise just in case the role you’re pursuing doesn’t work out.

Make Money in the Meantime

Learn how to make money…quickly. If the job hunt is taking longer than you expected, find a way to supplement the income you lost. There are several ways to hustle your way into a wage nowadays. Uber, Lyft, Instacart, UpWork, Fiverr, and more. There are plenty of companies that’ll hire you as a contractor. If you’re making money, that could enable you to be very picky on the job you take.

Health Insurance

Last thing. Don’t forget about healthcare costs. If you get benefits from your current job, figure out how/if you’re going to get health insurance while you are out of work. Short-term plans might meet a need if you’re just looking for disaster coverage, but if you’re someone that requires ongoing medical care, there’s probably something else that’ll meet your needs better.

Prep your finances BEFORE you make a move.

Disclaimer:

Here Is What To Do If You Have Debt In Arrears

October 25, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

This article is a response to a reader’s question about paying off debt on an irregular income. They write:

Can you advise me how to manage to settle my absa loan & credit card because they are in arrears

At my work I earn with commission , sometimes I didn’t earn.

Here is my answer:

Being in debt is a challenge. It takes away money you could use for more productive things. It’s even more difficult when you’ve missed payments and your debt is now in collections. If that’s you, here are some tips to help you settle your debt that’s in arrears.

Pay down debt

Utilize some debt repayment strategies.

Debt snowball – pay your smallest balance first while making minimum payments to your other debts. When you pay off your smallest balance, move on to the next smallest balance. As you get rid of debts, you’ll be able to make larger payments to the following debt.

Debt avalanche – pay your highest interest rate first. Similar strategy as the “snowball”. Once your highest interest rate debt is eliminated, pay as much as you can towards the debt with the next highest interest rate.

Use retirement funds to pay off your debt. You’ll likely, depending on your age, pay a 10% tax penalty, however (if you’re under 59 1/2). Do you have any cash accumulated in a whole life insurance policy? Use that cash value to pay off your debts

Negotiate

How much, in terms of dollars, can you pay to your creditors as a settlement? Figure out what that number is before you start contacting creditors.

It may take a couple of phone calls, so don’t get discouraged. If you don’t like what you’re hearing from the representative you’re talking to, try and get a hold of a different one. Remember the dollar amount you can pay and don’t go over that amount. If you can pay 50% of what you owe, start with an offer to pay 30%. The creditor will counteroffer and hopefully, the agreed amount is 50% or lower.

Make sure you’re clearly communicating the financial hardship you’re experiencing that put you behind on your debts. Getting sympathy from a representative could help you! Get any settlement or repayment plan in writing as soon as possible.

Make sure you’re speaking to your creditors, not collections agencies. Collections agencies will take a settlement amount and sell whatever is left to another agency. Before you’ll know it, they’ll be after you again. Speak to the creditor you initially owed. Also, be prepared to pay taxes on the forgiven amount.

Bankruptcy

Nobody likes to think about it and it would be a very difficult decision, but it might be one to strongly consider if you want to settle your debt.

If you don’t have luck with negotiations, you might have to consider bankruptcy. There are generally two options – Chapter 7 and Chapter 13. Chapter 7 clears all of your debts. Chapter 13 is more of a reorganization.

Check credit reports

Clarify with the credit reporting agencies how things were settled. Clean up the report and it could help your score a little. Late payments and charge-offs stay on your credit report for 7 years. Debts in collections stay on your credit report for 180 days.

Debt settlement is about commitment. There are penalties if you miss ONE payment of your agreed-upon settlement, so don’t miss!

One more thing. Know your rights. There are several things collectors can’t do:

They can’t threaten you
They can’t shame you
They can’t force you to repay your debt
They can’t falsify their identity to trick you
They can’t harass you

It’s a tough road, but getting out of debt is paramount for your psyche and your financial success. Utilize strategies to pay down debt. Speak with your creditors about negotiating. If negotiation doesn’t work, consider bankruptcy. Once you settle your debt, review your credit report and dispute errors.

Disclaimer:

Financial Planning Month

October 20, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

October is Financial Planning Month so I want to go into a little detail about why financial planning is so important and what aspects need to be considered.

Now let me start by saying money is not the end all be all, but having some is better than having none. Being financially prepared is incredibly important, both for your psyche and for your budget.

Why financial planning is important

Saving some of what you earn is the first step to financial preparation. Having an emergency fund is essential. Those who don’t have emergency funds probably have to pay for emergencies with credit cards. That leads to debt and money wasted on interest.

What about saving for medium-term goals? Being able to save for a down payment for a house can save you money on your monthly payment, and can make your offer to buy more enticing in this competitive market. The less you “finance” the more you save because you’re not paying (or you’re paying less) interest.

Saving for retirement is paramount. Social security will not pay all of your expenses. You need supplemental income to be able to live when you no longer can earn money.

To be able to save, you need to plan. That plan is called a budget and you need to set one so you know how much you HAVE to spend on necessities, how much to save, and how much you COULD spend on wants.

Planning also matters so you stay out of debt. Unplanned expenses come up and it’s vital to have money saved up during those times.

What goes into a financial plan

A few of them I’ve mentioned so far – having an emergency fund, having a savings plan in place for medium-term goals, having a retirement plan in place for when you need it, and budgeting.

A great financial plan takes two approaches – macro and micro. A macro view of your financial plan is more of an outline. How much do you save for this, that, and the other (emergencies, short-term and medium-term goals, and retirement).

The micro has to do with the details and how you meet those goals. What kind of debt payments do I need to make in order to have it paid off in three years? How much do I need to save per month to have my down payment ready? How much do I need to save, given a projected ROI, to meet my retirement nest egg goal?

Insurance

Another important piece to your financial plan is your insurance. Are your home and vehicles adequately protected? Are you protected? Is your ability to earn a living protected? Making sure you have proper coverage for your property, liability, and your life is vital.

Estate planning

Creating a plan for yourself and for your family is the last step. If you have assets you want to leave them and/or liabilities you want to take care of, you need to spell that out in a legal document (like a will or a trust). An estate plan is all-encompassing and needs to include your investments, property, liabilities, and insurance.

Disclaimer:

Who Needs to Worry About the Stock Market and Why?

October 6, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba 1 Comment

Earlier this week we saw the NASDAQ take a dive and Facebook lost 5% in one day. Volatility is part of the stock market. That’s how it’s been and I think that’s how it’s always going to be. Suffice it to say that the stock market is otherwise unpredictable and it’s something that investors are aware of. But who really needs to worry about the stock market?

Who needs to worry?

The complicated answer is, it depends. It depends on what you’re saving for, how old you are, and your time horizon.

Generally speaking, if you’re saving for retirement, the people closer to retirement need to pay attention to the market more than the younger people. That’s also why asset allocation is important. The closer you are to retirement, the more money you should have in less risky investments.

Time Horizon

If you have a short-term goal you’re saving for then you have to be a little more careful. If you’re saving for college, for example, the closer you get to having to use those funds to pay for college, the more conservative you’ll have to be.

What happens in the stock market only concerns people with a short time horizon. I actually should phrase it differently. What happens in the stock market SHOULD only concern people with a short time horizon.

Asset Allocation

When I say all of these things, I’m specifically talking about broad-based financial planning. People who are saving for a particular goal and are using asset allocation for their investments. Meaning they’re selecting mutual funds or ETFs that follow some sort of index. If you’re investing in specific stocks or thematic ETFs, then you probably have to pay a little more attention.

And I’m not saying that people with long-term time horizons shouldn’t pay attention to their accounts. I’m simply saying that they shouldn’t live and die on what the value of their account is day in and day out. Don’t worry about the stock market.

Disclaimer:

What Currently Present a Risk to Markets?

September 22, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Where is the market going? What kind of risks do we need to be aware of? There are three or four things to pay attention to right now. The FED, interest rates, inflation, Covid, China, the government, and geopolitics. Do any of these present a risk to markets?

Okay, more than three or four things, but the first three can all be lumped together. Interest rate policy is enacted by the FED and what happens with interest rates has a direct impact on inflation. Furthermore, the government also has a chance to impact inflation.

And I apologize if we bounce around a little from topic to topic.

The FED, Interest Rates, Inflation

The government and the FED have a lot of control over what inflation is going to do. We had a lot of liquidity injected into the market because of the pandemic, and there’s a very good chance we’ll see more of that in the near future.

A $3.5 trillion bill is circulating through Congress right now. If this bill gets passed, we’ll have a lot more liquidity injected into the market. That’s likely to be a large tailwind for inflation (which is already running much hotter than expected). If the FED continues to provide an accommodative monetary policy, we’ll see inflation get out of control, and they’ll have to increase interest rates much sooner than they had planned.

Covid

Covid is still hanging around. 75% of the country has received at least one shot and now the administration is pushing booster shots. This is even after the CDC and the WHO have insisted on holding off on a third shot until less fortunate countries have a chance to get more of their first poke. The numbers need to level off soon or I fear lockdowns may rear their ugly head, and we all know how much the economy liked that the first time around.

China

China is a new story. Specifically, Evergrande. The ginormous real estate company is on the brink of bankruptcy. Comparisons have been made to the collapse of Lehman Brothers during the GFC (great financial crisis). We’ll see what happens and if the Chinese government decides to step in. Ripple effects through the global monetary system are possible.

Geopolitics

The last story is geopolitics. This has to do with the deal the US and Australia struck to help the Australian government build nuclear-capable submarines. It angered France because they already had a deal with Australia to help them build submarines (not nuclear-capable though). Britain feels pretty good because they helped broker the US/Aussie deal. Most likely, this will end up being only noise but could present a risk to markets. Something to keep your eye on.

Disclaimer:

My Thoughts on Climate Change

September 8, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

There’s no doubt climate change is a problem and this post isn’t going to be me grandstanding about the dire consequences of no action, and it certainly won’t be refuting that climate change is real. This post will specifically be about what I think the free market will do to fix it and what us ordinary people can do to contribute positively to the situation.

Now I have to admit, when it comes to understanding climate change and acting in a fashion that would make some sort of positive impact on our current direction, I’ve taken a more laid-back approach.

I was annoyed by both sides of the argument as I felt they were both taking an extreme stance (shocking right?). Also, I feel like humanity has a beautifully unique ability to figure things out when it’s necessary.

If you want to learn more about the evidence and facts surrounding climate change, here are two sources – Climate.NASA.gov and Climate.gov.

Tech Meets Climate Change

There are a plethora of inventions, some being used right now and some still in the works, that will help fight climate change. Because there are so many and I want to spotlight as many as I can that seems like a good idea, I’m going to organize them in a few ways.

Alternative Energy – Massive palm tree wind farms, future iterations of solar panels, kinetic pavement, new power transfer technologies, nuclear fusion.

Save the atmosphere – Drone that plant trees, satellites that spot methane leaks, giant vacuums to clean carbon from the air.

Save the environment – pumps that cool coral reefs, plastic eating enzymes, encourage phytoplankton to grow using technology, futuristic agriculture, protect bees.

Uncategorizable – genetic modification, solar geoengineering.

What can you do?

Like I said in the beginning, climate change is a problem, but human beings are smart enough and innovative enough to find solutions to fix it. In the meantime, there are some things you can do to help.

Have an energy audit
Change your light bulbs to LEDs
Replace HVAC filters frequently
Wash clothes in cold water
Upcycle furniture
Recycle clothes
Unplug electronic devices when not in use
Obsess over every drop of water
Recycle
Hand dry your clothes
Reduce food waste
Don’t drink bottled water
Carpool or take public transportation

There are a lot of things you can do to make an impact. If everyone contributed a little to the cause, maybe we can move the needle.

Sources:

Globalcitizen.org

BBC.CO.UK

Archive.curbed.com