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Creating A Financial Plan You Can Stick To

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The more I read and the more I meet with people, the more I realize that setting up a financial plan is more than dollars and cents.

Yes, the better financial plans have your typical items. Save this much, invest in these things, and contribute to this retirement plan.

But the best plans not only have this to take care of your financial needs but they’re also set up in a way that your psychological needs are met as well.

Can you stick with it?

The best plan is anyone that you can stick with. When setting up your plan, go through it slowly. Take each item one step at a time and consider possible scenarios when determining a particular section.

For example, when setting up a plan for your emergency fund, figure out what’s realistic for how much you’ll need and how long it will take you to get there.

Also, figure out how it will be replenished if/when it’s ever used. Perhaps you’ll have an automatic deposit setup indefinitely?

Another thing to keep in mind is including some flexibility in your plan. For example, if part of the process is setting up a budget and your weakness is eating takeout, include a little bit of money for it.

I generally advocate for eating your meals at home, but if it’s inevitable that you’ll go out to eat, it’s better to include a little bit of it, rather than trying to avoid it.

Will you gasp every time the market dips?

Investing is a vital part of your financial plan. Investing is what helps your savings grow, but at times, your investments can lose value.

Our psychology plays a big role in our success as an investor. It’s said that we experience the pain of a loss two times stronger than we experience the joy of a gain.

That said, you need to plan accordingly to keep your emotions in check. If you let them take control of your decisions, you could end up selling your investments after you’ve already lost value, at which point it may be better for you to stay in.

Most investable assets are in a retirement plan of some sort, so your time horizon is, more than likely, long-term. 20+ years for instance. Your risk tolerance is the other part to take into consideration.

How much are you willing to lose until you say, uncle? In a six month period, would you have to sell after you lost 10%, 20%, 30%, or more? Your answer to this will help determine what you are able to stomach.

The next thing to do is to stress test your portfolio. The popular investing/research websites will have this. You plug in your portfolio with dollar amounts and ticker symbols, and then (depending on the site) you can select a variety of scenarios to see how your portfolio would do during that scenario.

The 2008 Financial Crisis is a common one.

Conclusion

Creating a financial plan that has the potential to meet your goals is important, and having a plan that you’re comfortable with and one that will help you sleep at night is optimal.

Make sure, when you are developing your plan, that you are factoring in your behavior as an investor and as a human. We are emotional creatures, and that makes investing a little more difficult.

If you’d like to learn more about what was discussed here and for our disclosures, visit our website.

 

If reading this blog post makes you want to try your hand at blogging, we have good news for you; you can do exactly that on Saving Advice. Just click here to get started.

How to Make Long-Term Investing Decisions

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One of the most valuable attributes of successful investors is being able to stick to their guns and trust their analysis even when the market is tanking.

How do you invest for the long-term? Are there certain strategies and mindsets that can be used to your advantage?

We’ll explain that and more in the following article.

Know what you are willing to risk

Whether you are someone that allocates your assets between a select few mutual funds but are looking to use a small portion of your account to enhance your returns or an investor that owns a handful of stocks, you need to be wary of how much of your total portfolio is in one security/strategy.

With either scenario, the decision of how much of your portfolio you are willing to risk in an individual security is whatever you are comfortable with. Personally, if I were in your position, I wouldn’t use more than 5% in this type of situation.

Taxes matter

If you are investing in a qualified account (tax-advantaged account) taxes don’t really have any effect on whether you should buy or sell something, or what type of security you invest in.

You’re either taxed before you deposit the funds or you pay taxes when you withdraw, otherwise the account grows tax-deferred.

If you’re investing in a non-qualified account (standard brokerage/investment account) the taxes and what securities you invest in, matters.

For example, when you invest in a mutual fund, at the end of the year, that fund will pass capital gains to the investors. It’ll come in similar to a dividend, but a much bigger number (depending on the year). You have to pay taxes on that, just like you would a dividend.

Another example, if you invest in a security and sell it for more than you bought it, you have a capital gain. If you held the security for less than 1 year, it’s a short-term capital gain. If you held it for more than 1 year, it’s a long-term capital gain. A long-term capital gain is taxed at a lower rate than a short-term gain.

Asset allocation is important

Stocks/bonds/cash. They are the three most important asset classes in investing.

I’ve written about stocks and bonds before, but the cliff notes version is stocks are risky and can reward you with high returns. They get hit hard during bear markets.

Bonds are generally less risky so you usually get a lower return. However, they tend to hold up a little better during bear markets.

Depending on where you are in life and what you’re comfortable with determines how much (by percentage) you should have in each asset class.

Someone in their 20s should have almost all stocks and a little in bonds. Maybe 90/10 or 80/20. I’d only recommend cash if they were waiting for a significant pullback and wanted to put money to work at lower prices.

Conversely, someone in their 60s that has less time to make back what they lose, would be much more conservative. Their allocation could be 40/50/10 or somewhere around there.

Keep in mind these are general rules of thumb. The most important thing with any investment is your comfort level. If you are 25 and aren’t comfortable with hanging on to your stocks during a 40% decline, be more conservative.

Fees will eat your returns

There’s no denying that trading fees, advisor fees, and the various other types of fees will reduce your returns over the long-term.

On average, expense ratios on mutual funds are much higher than expense ratios on ETFs. Though I believe paying your advisor their fee (I don’t think it should be higher than 1%) is well worth the expense, not everyone needs an advisor.

If your financial situation is relatively simple, you’re comfortable and confident with how you handle things, and you don’t foresee making any significant changes, then it’s probably not worth it.

However, it might not be a terrible idea to see one every few years to have an objective set of eyes review everything.

What’s your exit strategy?

When you invest in a security, and this is more than just asset allocation, you need to have your exit already planned. Too often, people will invest in a stock, see it climb 10% higher and then fall back down. Instead of selling with a small gain or at cost, they’ll hang onto it in hopes it’ll climb back up, even if it keeps falling.

Our emotions and our behavior is our worst enemy in investing. Having a plan and a strategy in place before you even get started is a great way to help mitigate those things from getting in the way.

Regular contributions

If you have time to ride out down markets and are comfortable with the investments you chose/the asset allocation you picked, then hang onto what you have.

An added bonus is if you are regularly contributing and adding to those positions. In a down market, those securities you invested in will get cheaper. When you regularly invest at lower prices, you effectively lower your average purchase price.

Conclusion

Investing can be very difficult, but it doesn’t have to be. In my opinion, keeping your investment plan as simple as possible paired with a unique ability to keep your emotions out of the equation is a recipe for success.

For more information about investing and for my disclosures, visit www.crgfinancialservices.com.

 

If reading this blog post makes you want to try your hand at blogging, we have good news for you; you can do exactly that on Saving Advice. Just click here to get started.

More Changes for Payday Loans?

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I’ve written previously about some of the changes to payday loan practices in the UK. Maybe this is a harbinger of things to come in the USA?

Here’s the latest:

Payday loan sector members agree: Charter governing good practice but government regulation continues to loom in 2014

Businesses within the payday loan sector have taken many steps towards self-regulation since 2012, yet as continued government intervention in the industry looms, the topic of self regulation continues to be hotly debated. 

Let’s focus on the self regulation charter agreed to by much of the UK payday loan sector in 2012. This will help us examine the impact this has had on the payday lending industry after 2012, so we can debate the issue. Here’s the key question: has the government has gone too far in the regulation of the payday loan industry? Maybe even better: is government intervention necessary?

A cynical take on the self regulation stance taken by the payday lending sector since 2012

A cynic might argue that as with any voluntary assumption of a self regulatory framework, the measures were designed to stave off government intervention in the regulation of the industry. It is just as easy to take the opposing stance and argue that self regulation creates enough protection for customers, thus dispensing with the need for further government regulation. However, whatever your stance on the self regulation assumed by much of the payday loan sector in 2012, there is no disputing that the self regulatory framework adopted has improved standards within the payday loan sector as a whole and made the experience of obtaining a payday loan a fairer, more transparent and easier process.

Self regulation within the payday lending sector: a new consumer – focused Charter 

In 2012 much of the payday loan sector in England took significant steps towards agreeing a self regulatory framework. At the center of the framework was a consumer – focused charter which made voluntary commitments to fairness, transparency and responsible lending.

Specifically the Charter established commitments towards fairness, reasonableness and responsible lending that are agreed to by all governed by the Charter. The Charter specifically outlines a commitment not to encourage irresponsible borrowing, and imposes an obligation on lenders to inform customers of the suitability of payday lending, only for short- term lending requirements.

Other rights created by the Charter include a right to have payment arrangements explicitly explained and a right to have the implications of the loan fully explained before the loan is entered into. The Charter also provides customers protections in the form of notifications relating to any payments taken, and a notice period of three days is nominated as the minimum notice period required.

Other areas governed by the Charter include the freezing of charges and interest in circumstances where a consumer has agreed a reasonable repayment plan, and a commitment to deal with issues of financial difficulties sympathetically.

Your views 

What are your views of the regulation of the payday loan industry? Have you used Wonga – the current top competitor in the payday industry? Do you have thought on where this industry is headed with the new regulations coming in or do you have you any experience of loan sharks? Please comment or reply so you can share you opinion on these hotly debated issues. Payday lending has been a controversial matter for some time, but given the recent regulatory changes affecting the industry the debates surrounding the regulation of the industry have intensified. Let us know what you think, and don’t be afraid to tell us what your view is!

Self regulation of the payday lending industry: is it enough and is it effective? 

Clearly government intervention within the regulation of the payday lending industry in the form of the Financial Conduct Authority oversight policy shows that the government believes the industry should not be allowed to self – regulate. Perhaps, central to the new proposals for regulation of the industry is the rise in the number of people using payday lending services. In 2008 the payday lending industry in the UK alone was worth 900 million, and this has sky – rocketed to an estimated 2.2 billion in 2012.

Some may argue that too much regulation of any service industry is a bad thing and results in unfair outcomes for consumers, whose access to a full range of services is typically limited by strict regulation. People who can’t access services legitimately inevitably go looking for the same service elsewhere. Enter the illegal money – lender, and the pressure to resort to their services.

On the other hand it can be argued that the industry will contribute to debt problems and create other long term social problems, if left unfettered. Despite the commitments made across the board in the payday lending sector, many commentators argue that the measures have not been effective in tackling spiralling debt within the UK as a whole.

 

Long Term Care Planning: What Would You Do?

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Be the bigger adult and address the hard problems with people you love before you’re forced to make tough decisions down the road.

My father in law was a smart, active man. An engineer who built houses on the side for fun and profit, he ran nearly every day and lived on healthy foods. He was that guy who everyone knew when you went out to lunch. He had an easy smile and a nearly easier laugh.

I was lucky that a guy this smart would come to his daughter’s son for financial advice. In some ways (like most of my clients) he didn’t need it. He was at the top of his game in most aspects. He just had one big gaping hole in his plan: he didn’t want to talk about illness or mortality.

One problem I saw in most financial plans, including my father in law’s, was that although they did a fine job of picking investments that they knew, their plans generally had no escape valves. Some people only invested in stocks,. Others owned only real estate. Some had all their money in the 401k plan at work and wanted to retire at 50.

My father in law’s problem? He was so insurance-adverse that he’d decided to do nothing.

 

Disturbing Long Term Care Stats

 

The threat of a catastrophic illness is real. While the threat of a fire burning your home is 1 in 1,200 and the risk of an automobile accident is 1 in 240, the chance you’ll need some sort of long term care help is 1 in 5. Those ain’t good odds.

So, as I did with every client, my job was to talk about it. Did I like this talk? Absolutely not. It was my least favorite meeting. But I had a job to do. What action they took was up to them.

When you talk about long term care, talk about the three options available:

 

Long Term Care Strategy: Your Three Choices

 

Assume the risk. This option is best for people with nothing to lose or for people with enough money that they can “self insure.” Much like most life insurance uses, long term care protects assets you can’t afford to lose.

What’s interesting about long term care is the way many of my wealthiest clients saw the products. Based on past comments here on the blog, many of my readers are like me: they want as little insurance as possible. That’s smart for people who are struggling to reach the “finish line” on financial independence. But when financial independence is assured, I met many wealthy individuals who could afford to self insure who decided not to because the cost in assets was potentially so great. In short: the premium payments on an insurance policy is so small that they’d rather insure the risk.

 

Hand the risk to an insurance company. Regardless of what I said earlier about wealthy individuals, this is a tough pill to swallow. The reason my father in law didn’t want to talk about long term care? It’s uber-expensive. The funny thing is….the reason it’s expensive is why you need it: actuaries for the insurance companies price policies higher when they think the product will be used. LTC is expensive because they think you’re going to need it.

 

Here’s a creative strategy that worked for a few people: I had some clients that weren’t worried about outliving assets, but who did want to make sure they still had a legacy for their family. Instead of buying a long term care policy they purchased an immediate annuity. The money from the annuity purchased long term care and an insurance policy in the amount of the annuity. While the person lived the annuity paid the insurance cost and when they died the insurance policy replaced the money that was spent.

 

Take some of the risk and hand some of the risk to an insurance company. In this scenario, you play the statistics. The average person will need long term care for 2 and a half years, so buy a policy that covers just longer than that. Sure, it doesn’t cover the horror stories of long, long term care, but you’ll cover the likely amount of time. Raise the deductible so that you pay for anything short term out of pocket. Moves like these can decrease the cost of insurance so that you can still focus on your goals while not worrying about the “what if’s” associated with long term care.

 

How it turned out for us:

 

My mother in law was very worried about the threat of long term care, but my father in law decided to assume the risk, even though they weren’t wealthy. His family had a history of Parkinson’s disease. Sadly, it struck him, too. Because they didn’t have enough money to afford long term care, my mother in law ended up caring for him. He fell a lot. She couldn’t help him up so she’d have to call an ambulance. He became harder and harder to take care of. In some ways it was lucky that he fell and hit his head while insisting that he walk the dog. He passed away before the big bills would have happened. However, the toll on my mother in law, seven months after his death, is noticeable.

 

What you should do: If you have anyone over age 50 in your family, talk to them about catastrophic illness. If you talk about your options early, you’ll never have to worry about the topic again.

Have you had to have this hard talk with a friend or relative? How did it turn out? What would you advice people to say or avoid?

Stock Market Punishment: The First Lesson of 2013

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The podcast team is giving the interns a well-deserved week off, so lucky reader….YOU get a FREE extra blog post from Average Joe. I know. Pinch yourself. It’s real. Almost like our awesome rare Saturday post this week.

Look at what the media did to you again.

The sky is falling! Fiscal cliff! Doom! Stock market will be in shambles! Hide your children!

Big ratings for the financial channels, huh?

If you listened and moved your money out of the market, it destroyed your chances for a great return in 2013.

MAYBE you’ll recover if you jumped out before the big two-day run up in stocks. The chances, though, are against you: historically, if you miss the 10 best days in the stock market, you lose about 5.18%, or nearly half your return for the year. If you paid trading fees to avoid the “fiscal cliff disaster,” this only exacerbated your problem.

Here’s what the panicked investor missed in the S&P 500 last week:

December 31: 1.7%

January 2: 2.5%

January 3: –.03%

January 4: .05%

In short, if you missed two days last week you lost out on 4.2%. Those types of returns don’t come around often.

By the way, don’t go in the comments and tell me that “all you lost was a little time….” go back and read the stats above first. You lost a ton.

 

let’s calculate the cost of listening to the media on this one

 

Suppose you’re 25 years old and you have managed to save $10,000 into your 401k plan. You lost out on $420. Sounds like no big deal, right?

Let’s use the rule of 72 to determine just how much you really lost:

The rule of 72 says that if you divide the interest rate you think you’ll achieve into 72, you’ll come up with the approximate number of years it’ll take your money to double. Cool, huh?

Assuming that you wanted this money for retirement (401k, right? That’s not your “mad money” account….I hope), we’ll use age 70 for your withdrawal. We’ll also use a realistic return assumption of 8%.

8% / 72 = 9 years for your money to double.

So, that $420 you lost wasn’t really $420, was it?

It would have doubled when you were 34, 43, 52, 61, 70.

Your “little” $420 wasn’t $420. By 32 it was $820. At 41 it was $1,640. By age 50 you’d lost $3,280. At 59 the gap was $6,560. When you went for the money at 69 you had $13,200 less.

 

it gets worse

 

If you’re 30 and gambled $50,000 that the market would tank, it’s uglier. Let’s also use 9% rather than 8%, since people looking long term historically have used 10% as their assumption (which I believe is too high, BTW).

Check out what more money and a “little” one percent difference do to your loss:

Rule of 72 = 8 years for money to double.

Funds double at 38, 46, 54, 62, 70

$2,100 lost during two day run-up in market.

= 4,200 loss at 38, 8,400 loss at 46, 16,800 at 54, 33,600 at 62 and

…$67,200 at age 70.

On our “What Did We Learn in 2012” podcast, expert after expert told you the same thing: don’t listen to national media finance porn and don’t chase short term results.

If you did, I’m going to play Dr. Phil now: How’s that workin’ out for ya?

 

Photo: Joe Shlabotnik

Investing Myths: Four Traps That Catch Amateurs

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Why do so many do-it-yourself investors perform far worse than they should? How do you make sure and avoid some of the potholes that most amateurs seem to step in?

In theory, people managing their own funds should do well. Today’s investor has access to more tools, more research, and more information than ever before.  You can easily view data in near-real time, putting the average person on par with professional brokers and large brokerage businesses on Wall Street.  It’s easy to track company performance, get up-to-date and late breaking information just by opening an app on your phone.  What a world!

But, with all this information available, you’ll need to filter out truisms, half-truths and outdated ideas. Managing your own money isn’t tough, but it’s easy to fall into traps.

Let’ s walk through some top myths today’s investors need to realize aren’t true anymore.

First, a diamond may mean forever, but buy and hold isn’t.  You shouldn’t just buy a stock and close your eyes.  Occasionally, good companies have badly performing stocks.  Instead of “buy and hold” investors should “buy and pay attention.”  You should carefully select your positions based on the information at hand, but be sure to have a well-thought out exit plan before you buy the stock.

Second, performance isn’t the only thing that matters….and I’m not just saying that because I’m a guy. Historical performance is worth noting, but it’s not, as they say, indicative of future performance.  We do believe, however, that performance does persist – there is investment momentum.  What matters more than past performance? Simply put, volatility, tax considerations and overall asset allocation should be equally considered. It’s paramount to create a portfolio that compliments your long-term investing goals. Remember that the ones that shoot up fast are also the ones that crash quickly. Volatility is a two way street.

Listen to ways your investments could be more successful on our podcast: 2 Guys & Your Money Episode 15: Top 5 Ways to Improve Your Investment Returns

Third, charts don’t only make sense for professionals.  Some people believe only “technical traders” use charts or that they’re somehow outdated relics from a bygone era.  Not true.  Charts can tell investors a great deal about what’s going on in the markets and with any particular holding.  Charts aren’t crystal balls – but they can help you manage risk. How much volatility has a position had in the past? How does today’s price compare with past prices? When does the position pay dividends? How has this position grown relative to its peers? All of these are easily answered by reviewing a few charts.

Finally, don’t try to always buy at the bottom.  This one’s really dangerous.  How do you know it’s the bottom?  Investors are egotistical beasts; we think that because it looks like the stock/bond/real estate/whatever is going to turn around, our few dollars are boing to be perfectly placed. We’ve seen investors buy stocks at $10 that once were $100, only to find out that they were not even close to the bottom.  Remember two things: 1) you’re nobody in the market, and your brain is too small to call the bottom of the market (sorry if that offends you); and 2) investment prices fall for a reason. If a position is “on sale,” it’s important to know why it’s fell before you make a bet that it will rise again from the ashes. The person who buys a stock that’s near its yearly low is betting their purchase is going to be the reason it turns around.  Unless you’re Warren Buffet, I wouldn’t be too sure.

The biggest rule when it comes to investing is not to try to ”win big” but rather “lose small.”  Manage and know your risk before establishing a position and you’ll go a long way toward becoming a more successful investor.

5 Must-Know Privacy Lessons I Learned From 9-11

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I was late to work and sneaking up the stairwell to my office. A passing friend said, “A second plane just hit the World Trade Center.”

There’d been a first plane? The World Trade Center? It must be a little Cessna.

The entire office huddled around televisions. I wasn’t prepared for what they were watching. The heroism of everyday people that day still amazes me.

Later in the week, among the flurry of stories echoing the disaster, one personal finance problem emerged: private financial documents with personal client information littered the streets of Manhattan. Many of the firms in the World Trade Center were financial companies (in fact, one firm owned by a cousin of a client, Alger Mutual Funds, lost David Alger and 35 other staffers that day). I began helping the media complete stories about “How to Protect Your Privacy.”

Although we can’t prevent another 9-11, we can make sure that our financial documents are the last thing we worry about when far more important concerns (such as people) should dominate our thoughts. Here are five lessons I took far more seriously after that day than I had previously:

 

5 Steps To Protect Your Identity

 

shredder1) Shred unnecessary documents. A good shredder pays for itself immediately. If you’re using it for household bills, this Amazon shredder will only set you back $29.99. Businesses should invest in a more robust tool.

2) Don’t give out your social security number, telephone number, or other unnecessary information on documents. I hand over wrong numbers like a hot woman at the bar. Create a separate email address reserved for email forms and correspondence with companies.

3) Check your credit report regularly. You’ll want to keep a tight watch over predators trying to access your credit. Companies with free credit tools like Quizzle or CreditKarma are great places to monitor lender activity. On episode #2 of our Two Guys & Your Money podcast, Len Penzo reported that he turns off his credit with each credit company until he needs it. Look for other mistakes while you’re there: a recent ABC news story reported that over 90% of all credit reports have inaccurate information.

4) Review every credit card statement. Ever wonder why Mr. Monopoly looks shocked when you draw the “Bank Error in Your Favor….Collect $40” card in the popular board game? It’s because errors happen all the time and they’re rarely in your favor. More importantly, you may see early signs of thieves trying to gain access to your credit.

5) Back up your documents – I’ve recently begun transferring my paper documents into digital form. Keep these in two places in case you lose access to the first or thieves steal the data.

Foremost in my mind today is the tragic and unnecessary loss of life on 9-11. I learned far greater lessons than the five I pointed out above. However, I also learned a little about taking care of my financial life so that if tragedy strikes, the threat to my identity is minimized.

 

What steps do you still need to take to better protect your financial privacy?

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Homeowners Insurance: My Friend’s Best Friend

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Here’s the best way to score a table at a busy restaurant. Walk up to a table of nice people and say, “Let’s talk about insurance!” Within seconds, the table is yours.

Nobody enjoys the topic, but I think we all recognize the need for homeowners insurance.

I was reminded why again last week.

I received a message that good friends of ours who lived around the corner from our house had their home burn down. They’d recently relocated to Colorado.

Those forest fire pictures you’ve been seeing in the news? Those are the flames that destroyed nearly everything our friends owned.

We don’t like to talk about insurance, but events like this are a good reminder that we should revisit the policy periodically to make sure we know what protection we own.

 

5 Important Homeowners Insurance Provisions

 

1) Replacement value coverage– Most homeowners policies are replacement value coverage, but it’s worth checking. If yours isn’t, you’ll receive the fair market value of each item you claim. That five year old computer? Probably not worth the $1,000 you spent on it anymore….

2) Valuables itemized and insured separately? Although policies will replace your belongings, high value jewelry, artwork and personal items should have a separate endorsement. Insurance industry friends tell me to check with your agent or company because competing insurers have different levels of personal endorsements.

3) Renters? Roommates? Here’s a sticky point. If you’re living in a home but don’t own it, you’ll need renters insurance for your personal items. Many people rent because they have a tight budget, but this is one important area to spend the money (and hopefully never have to use it).

4) Deductible. Remember that recommendation some crazy website made about funding a cash reserve emergency account? Partly, that’s so you can self-insure and tell the insurance company to take a hike! As your deductible grows, the amount you have to pay for insurance declines. That’s the good news. The bad news? You’ll owe a larger amount when you have a claim, so don’t raise your deductible until you’ve funded your emergency fund.

5) Inflation protection. Because thinking about your homeowners insurance is feared worse than a trip to the dentist, inflation protection increases the value of your coverage over time. This way, even if you forget, you’ll have protection that keeps up with rising costs.

While I can’t say that you’ll be the hit of the neighborhood by having a great homeowner’s policy, you will be able to relax a little after disaster strikes. I’m glad my friend’s family is okay. You can always replace a house.

Let’s keep the discussion going in the comments. Now that we’ve covered some important homeowners insurance provisions, how do you score a good deal buying it?

Photos: Fire Fighter: Roby Ferrari; Forest Fire: National Guard

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How Much Wood Could a Woodchuck Chuck?

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Anyone know the answer to that?  As we all know, that all depends, right?  No, it doesn’t depend on whether or not the woodchuck could chuck wood, but rather whether he was healthy enough to do so.  So my question to you, dear reader is this: If, God forbid, you weren’t able to get up and go to work tomorrow because you were too sick or hurt…how much chucking would you get done?

We’ve all seen the quacking Aflac commercials, I know I’ve laughed at most of them.  But when was the last time you actually thought about the implications of what that magical duck was saying?  Here’s a little exercise I go through with all my clients – you can play along at home.  Assume the following:

  • You’re an average white-collar worker making $60,000 per year and you get a $10,000 per year bonus
  • You have a nice ‘n comfy group disability policy that pays 60% of your base salary if you’re too sick or hurt to work
  • You’d really like to retire – and your family is counting on you being able to work so that you can save to reach that (or any other) goal

Here’s how I go through this little exercise – it kinda drives the point home:

Mr. Client.  Play along with me a second.  Let’s assume you head into work in the morning and your boss says, “Jim, you’re a wonderful employee, but we have to let you go.  Pack up your desk.”  Just like that you’re unemployed.  Since it’s only 11:30 A.M., you decide to head out to get something to eat before heading home to break the news to your lovely wife.  What’s your favorite fast-food restaurant?

McDonalds.

Excellent.  So, you’re at McDonalds and you see they’re hiring.  A nice little help-wanted sign stares you right in the face.  So, since you’re now jobless, you ask the manager for an interview.  After a short period of time he says, “Jim, you’re super awesome and we’d love you on the team.  We can’t pay a whole lot, but we’d be happy to pay you $60,000 per year.”

Figuring you’re in some kind of third dimension you run across the street to your 2nd favorite restaurant…which is…

Wendy’s.

Right, Wendy’s.  A quick chat with the manager and he wants you there too!  This is your lucky day!  He says, “Jim, we’d love you on our team, too.  We can’t pay a lot, but we can pay $58,000.”

Which job do you take?

McDonald’s right?  (all other things being equal)

So, before you sign your professional McDonald’s contract you ask the sixty-four thousand dollar question:

“What happens if I get sick or hurt and unable to work for an extended period of time?”

“Great question Jim.  We can’t pay you a lot of money – but we can pay you $30,000.”

Armed with this info, you dash over to Wendy’s.  You ask the same question.  The Wendy’s manager says, “Great question Jim.  We can’t pay a lot, but we can pay you $48,000.”

Now what?

If you’re like most clients, looking at this issue in the big picture helps solidify it.  It generally makes a lot of sense to forfeit a small amount of income today in exchange for guaranteed income forever.  There are hundreds of bells-and-whistles that make disability insurances different between companies, but suffice it to say, your group coverage isn’t good enough.  Generally speaking, group policies:

  1. Are considered taxable income when you receive the benefits
  2. Are canceled as soon as you leave employment
  3. Only cover base salary
  4. Require you to visit “company” doctors

I’m not saying group policies are bad – they’re not.  What they are, however, are incomplete.  Consider adding an individual disability policy to supplement your group disability policy.  When you own an individually purchased contract:

  1. The benefits are tax free
  2. Are guaranteed renewable through age 65 (or 67 depending on the company)
  3. Can cover all your income – including bonuses and retirement plan matching
  4. You can use your own doctor for reviews

Disability insurance policies are like car and home owner’s policies.  The premiums suck until you need to collect.  And trust me, you’re not going to be on your death bed saying “What the heck.  I paid $800 per year for 65 years and never had a house fire.”  Instead, you’ll say, “Boy was I lucky.”  Disability is the same way.  Go check out a couple companies and get some quotes.  My bet is you’re talking about less than $100 per month.  Not chump change, I know.  But the price is so much less than the risk.  Go get it done.

It’s all about chucking that wood.

Beware Charts, Graphs and Snake Oil

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I did away with my Boner of the Week! series that called out stupidity in financial media and blogs because I didn’t want to be that guy. Well, at least not be that guy not every week.

But this site is called the Free Financial Advisor for a reason. My task is to show people the difference between the truth and lunacy; to dole out useful tips that you can apply, sprinkled with my own quirky sense of humor.

Buy the doughnut, the frosting comes free. Bargain!

What I also drag along is a HUGE sense of anger when I see absolute baloney (polite terminology) on the internets.

I fought it as an advisor, and I’ll fight it here for you.

So, this week I’m going to un-bury the Boner of the Week! segment, along with the prerequisite, er, uncomfortable picture. Because I’m too lazy to find a new one, you’re treated to my favorite from the old series.

You’re welcome.

Let’s rant:

 

A Tip For New Investors:

 

If someone shows off a chart with a couple squiggly lines and points at them BUT REFUSES TO TELL YOU WHAT THEY MEAN it isn’t “analysis.”

It’s smoke and mirrors.

That’s why I like the DQYDJ blog and ws fired up when PK agreed to join our little podcast. He presents a chart or concept and then explains it. I’m a little smarter for visiting DQYDJ. Check out How Do You Know You’re Ready For Active Investing? Sure, I get PK’s returns, but I also get books to read, a chart on his personal progress and the story of how he began. Good story, good tips, good times.

Onboard?

Don’t try to just show me a chart and tell me “I predicted the financial markets would decline, and see, I’m right.” No reference to how the chart works. No rationale behind the prediction. Just “I’m right. Deal with it.”

Even if the chart is flippin’ brilliant, do you treat financial sites like the circus? Do you come here to see my dogs and ponies? My smoke AND mirrors? Do you want me to flash you a quick glimpse of my 12 inch wealth of knowledge so you can swoon over it?

Hell, no!

Like you, I visit sites for tips and tricks THAT I CAN USE. I don’t want to be shown stuff that I don’t understand.

If you hand me a shovel and I don’t know how to dig, all you gave me was a stick with a funny metal end.

Our “Boner of the Week!” target post (which I no longer point to directly, because that’s not the point of the piece….the point is to help you make better, more informed decisions. If you visited this bloggers site this week, I’ll apologize on his behalf), told us this week that “Mr. Brilliant” called the exact day the market was going to decline. He then advised us to stay out of stocks because it’s a bad, bad time for the market which will correct to (AND THEN HE BESTOWED UPON US THE EXACT RANGE!!!!).

Someone alert Jim Cramer. There’s a new sheriff in town.

Why the hell isn’t this guy working for a huge Wall Street firm or being paid the big bucks by wealthy investors who eat these gurus up? I used to ask my clients this question when they’d bring in what I’d call “miracle fliers” from their mailbox. Some dude telling them that he has all the answers.

I was a good financial advisor. I knew one thing: I didn’t have all the answers. Ta-Da!!!

Oh, my friends, that alone wouldn’t raise my ire. Ready for the next one?

Then he tells us to subscribe so we can find out what stocks we should buy when the time is right.

Thank you, your lordship Mr. Merlin soothsayer.

I don’t want a magical list of stocks. IF I did, I wouldn’t be looking for them on your free internet site.

Here’s what I want: tell me the criteria you used and I want to be taught to use it.

 

What I’m Railing Against

 

Did the dude call the market?

Yup. It appears he did.

Could he know how market conditions work?

Yup, he maybe can.

Are you just whining, Joe?

No.

I want this dude to tell me why, not what! A site like this is dangerous because you become dependent on the author. What happens if Mr. Brilliant has a Philly cheesesteak sandwich that doesn’t agree with him tomorrow and his indigestion decides that you should go 100 percent into Zynga stock? Or he tells you that the end of the world is coming and you should sell everything? Would you just follow like a lemming off the cliff?

  • Don’t follow someone blindly.
  • Learn to do your homework.

I naturally mistrust when ANYONE tells me they can call the market (after 16 years as a financial pro I saw professional gurus get beaten down by the financial markets time and time again).

One of my favorite stock trading books is called Trading Rules: Strategies for Success’ target=_blank>Trading Rules, by William F. Eng. The basic tenant of the book is that you do yourself a huge favor when you quit pretending you know anything about the financial markets. Once you realize that it’s a freakin’ scary-ass place, you’ll start protecting yourself and making money.

One of Mr. Eng’s fundamental rules: Tips Don’t Make You Money (Rule 7).

William F. Eng is a wealthy trader. I understand his background. I know nothing about wonderboy Mr. “I called it” dude.

Set stop losses. Learn how fundamental analysis works. Explore technical analysis.

But don’t let someone tell you when it’s the time to buy and the time to sell JUST BECAUSE THEY TOLD YOU SO!

They won’t lose the money, you will. And then you’ll be cursing the blogger, who won’t hear you over the dance music he’s playing for the rest of the suckers who hang on every word he says.

Rant over.