investing Archives - The Free Financial Advisor

Investment Risks in the World Today

March 16, 2022 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

The world is crazy right now. The war with Russia and Ukraine has created investment risks and opportunities with commodities, specifically. Inflation is also an issue. What do you do with all of these moving parts in the global economy?

Gold

Gold has only gone up since the war began, up over $2,000 for the first time since 2020. The reason being is that gold is a store of value and is often seen as a safe asset during times of uncertainty, like war, inflation, or a pandemic.

Gold isn’t the only asset that’s used in times of uncertainty. Cash, bonds, and other precious metals have also seen a massive inflow lately.

Crypto

Cryptocurrencies have also seen a run-up in recent weeks, for two reasons. One, some people do see cryptocurrencies as a store of value like gold. And two, cryptocurrencies have played a role in this war. Because Russia has been cut off, financially, from the rest of the world, they’ve used crypto to finance operations. Ukraine has done the same, but for the reason of being able to raise money from different channels.

Oil

The price of oil has been on a roller coaster since the war began. Russia supplies a lot of energy to the world. It supplies the U.S. with just 3% of oil, but it supplies Europe with most of what they use. That said, the price of oil went up very fast to about $125/barrel because the US and other countries blocked them off to further disrupt their finances.

It’s come back down since then thanks to OPEC+. They pledged to increase production to make up for the loss in supply.

Inflation

Inflation is off the charts right now. The most recent reading came in at 7.9%. There are quite a few things that are seeing the effects of it. Food is getting more expensive. Gas, obviously, due to supply constraints and inflation is getting more expensive. Property is also getting more expensive. Interest rates are going up as well. My wife and I refinanced late last year and locked our rate in at 3%. The most recent reading came in at 4.5%.

The FED is going to make some moves as well. Because of the war with Russia and Ukraine, they will take a more measured and conservative approach, so it’s possible that inflation is a problem for longer because the FED won’t hike rates as quickly as they may have previously intended.

Commodities

There are some other commodities, besides gold and other precious metals, that are feeling a pinch due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Wheat is the biggest example of this because between Russia and Ukraine, they produce and ship a third of the world’s wheat.

Unintended consequences

Even though the war is between two countries, it’s affecting everything (though differently than how it’s affecting Russia and Ukraine). There are logistical problems that are delaying shipments of things. The air space above the scuffle is off-limits, so flights around the area are taking longer than they previously would have. Longer flights = more fuel and reduced volume on flights = increased costs.

There are a lot of investment risks and opportunities due to the moving parts in the world right now and the market will continue to be volatile until things settle down. If you have time to ride out some ugly markets, stick to your plan. If you’re in retirement or close to retirement, reducing your risk might not be a bad idea.

Disclaimer:

**Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Securities America Advisors, Inc. Securities America and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice; therefore, it is important to coordinate with your tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation. Please see the website for full disclosures: www.crgfinancialservices.com

Jacob Sensiba

My name is Jacob Sensiba and I am a Financial Advisor. My areas of expertise include, but are not limited to, retirement planning, budgets, and wealth management. Please feel free to contact me at: jacob@crgfinancialservices.com

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

Finance Lessons Learned from the Pandemic

February 23, 2022 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

The Covid-19 pandemic changed life for two years and there are definitely still elements of what life was in the world today. No doubt there were some terrible things that happened. People lost their lives and their jobs. But there were also positives that came out of it. We’re going to highlight the lesson we can learn from this pandemic, particularly some personal finance lessons we can learn.

Working from home

This new type of work does not apply to everyone and I don’t like leaving people out, but this needs to be talked about. Working from home and articles about it took over during the pandemic and continue to be discussed.

Working from home, at least from some of those articles and studies, appears to be a net positive for employees and employers. Let time commuting, less overhead costs, more productivity thanks to no commute, increased job satisfaction, and improved work-life balance.

Thanks to the work-from-home setup, people who were able to do that moved out of the city or rented an Airbnb for an extended amount of time. In either case, those people were, likely, able to reduce their housing costs by moving to the suburbs or giving themself a little vacation/change of scenery.

Savings rate

A lot of people saved money during the pandemic thanks to stimulus payments. In April of 2020, the personal savings rate for Americans was 33%. In March of 2021, the personal savings rate for Americans was 26.6%.

The savings rate has fallen since then but is still above 12% which is higher than it was before the pandemic (less than 10%).

Stimulus payments

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), most Americans either saved or paid down debt with the majority of their stimulus payments. 40% of the stimulus payment was spent, 30% was saved and another 30% was used to pay down debt.

Personal finance lessons

I think there were a lot of personal finance lessons that can be learned from the pandemic. Here’s a list of them below:

People saved more money

The future was very uncertain so people were more conservative with their spending and less conservative with their savings. That mindset shouldn’t change. The future, in principle, is uncertain. We do not know what tomorrow holds, so saving for a rainy day/goals/retirement is very important.

You don’t need to spend money to have fun

At the very beginning of the pandemic, you couldn’t go anywhere. Quarantine and lockdown orders came in right away. Instead of getting together in person, people utilized Facetime, phone calls, and Zoom. I, personally, had group Zooms with family members where we played and had conversations like we would if we were in person.

Diversification is important

Early in the pandemic, the market tanked. We lost over 30% in six weeks. Granted, it came right back up not long after, but that might not always be the case. If you don’t have time to ride out the ebbs and flows of the market, it’s important you get your asset allocation right. Talk with your adviser to make sure your investment matches your time horizon and risk tolerance.

Get rid of debt

You never know when your job and your ability to earn can be taken from you. Some people lost their jobs, some people were furloughed, and some people just weren’t able to go to work. If you don’t have an income, the only other part of the balance sheet you can affect is your expenses. Get rid of your debt. That’ll help you reduce your expenses in case that happens (you can also save more).

Protect your loved ones

Get life insurance. A lot of people passed away during the pandemic. If you contribute income to your household, you need to make sure you financially protect the people that rely on your income.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

How to Increase Your Net Worth

February 2, 2022 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Your net worth is a benchmark for your financial success. Notice that I said financial success and not just success. That was intentional because money doesn’t define your success. Money can afford you freedom, but I believe real success doesn’t involve money. That was free of charge, now let’s talk about how to increase your net worth.

What is net worth?

Net worth is assets minus liabilities. How much wealth do you have after you subtract what you owe versus what you have? It’s typically used to gauge your progress in your financial life. If you have debt, then when you pay it down, your net worth goes up. The same happens when you increase your savings.

How to increase your assets

Honestly, the only way to increase your assets is to save money. At least, that’s where it all starts. The more you save, the more you have to work with.

How do you save money? Decrease your expenses and/or make more money. That’s what it comes down to. Figure out what’s important – in terms of your budget and spending. Everything else that doesn’t fit on that list needs to either be removed or reduced.

Once you have money saved, then you can put it to work. Invest it in securities or assets that have a chance to increase in value. What kinds of things have a chance to increase in value? Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, precious metals, real estate, certificates of deposit (CDs), and cryptocurrency/NFTs (though I would tread carefully here).

Growing your assets will help you increase your net worth.

How to decrease your liabilities

Pay down your debts. That’s it. Obviously, it’s more challenging than that. Ideally, what you’d want to do is pay down your debts before you focus on the saving aspect of it. If you have debts with high-interest rates, like credit cards, those should be your first priority.

We’ve gone into detail about the repayment methods before so we’ll only touch on them briefly, but what’s important is decreasing your expenses so you can make larger, more regular payments towards your debts.

The next step is developing a repayment strategy. The two we’ve talked about before are the debt avalanche and the debt snowball. The debt avalanche – you pay the debt with the highest interest rate off first before moving to the next one. The debt snowball – you pay the debt with the smallest balance off before moving on to the next one.

Paying down your debts will really help you increase your net worth.

Is there a net worth number you should hit?

At the end of the day, your net worth number is really a reflection of what you’ve saved for retirement. Ideally, you will not have any debts, including your mortgage. So there’s no math that needs to be done. What are your assets? Primary home, any rental properties, and then your retirement savings, with primary home and retirement savings being the two most common for everyone.

So the question becomes, how much should you save for retirement? Thankfully, we’ve created a guide for you to help answer that question (see below).

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

Managing High Inflation in Retirement

December 29, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Inflation is high. We all know that. I’ve been writing about it for months and it appears that it’s here to stay. With all of that said, I saw a question the other day about how to manage the high inflation when you’re in retirement, and I thought it was a good topic to talk about today. So we’re going to discuss high inflation in retirement, how it’s impacting retirees, budgeting strategies, investment strategy changes, and if inflation will be an ongoing concern for retirees.

Inflation right now

It’s high…no surprise to anyone. In January it was 1.4%, in April it was 4.2%, in July it was 5.4%, in October it was 6.8%, and in December it was 5.9%. That’s historically high. The highest it’s been in 40 years. Will that stay, only time will tell and we’ll get into that later.

How is it impacting retirees?

Things are getting expensive, so when you set a budget at the beginning of your retirement you account for the current price of the things you need. You should also account for increased costs of items as time goes on because there can be big or small increases…either way, prices costs will go up.

Groceries and energy are two prime examples of things that have gotten more expensive recently. So when those things went up in price, it probably pinched people’s budgets, and/or pushed forward costs that probably weren’t expected for several years. Odds are, they’re spending more money now on food and energy than they anticipated. Hopefully, people have been able to make adjustments already.

Budgeting Strategies

There really aren’t a lot of tips I can give you. The best thing I can really say is to cut costs where it makes sense to account for things that are now more expensive. The other tip, though this is more of a gamble, is to not make any changes now and make changes in the future when inflation comes down.

Investment Strategies

With your investment, you’ll need to reallocate some assets. I wouldn’t take any money out of stocks. What I would do is take some money out of your bond investments and put it into precious metals. The FED said that they plan on hiking rates three times in 2022. Bond prices will go down when interest rates go up. Increasing your stock allocation or putting some money in precious metals could be a good way to combat inflation.

High inflation here to stay?

No, I do think it will be here until the FED hikes rates, but my reasoning for that has to do with what happened in 2018. If the FED can raise rates without putting a cork in the recovery, then I think there’s a possibility that inflation and the federal funds rate will stay elevated until the bubble pops.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

End of Year Money Moves

December 22, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

We’re getting close to the end of the year so I think it’s a good time to review how to set yourself up for success for next year. Here are some end-of-year money moves you should make.

Year in review

I think it’s important to reflect on the year that has been – financially, emotionally, physically, and spiritually. If you’re not evaluating your progress as a human, I think you are doing yourself a disservice.

We’ll stick with the finance side of things in this article. Did you achieve the goals you set out to reach when the year started? If you had a goal to pay off debt, did you? If you had a goal to increase your savings rate for retirement, did you?

I think that’s important for two reasons. One, you review your progress to see if you were successful or not. Two, you use this year’s progress to help set your target for next year. If you achieved your goal, you can set a higher target for next year. If you didn’t, maybe keep the same goal and try to hit it next year.

It’s also a good idea to review your investment/retirement portfolio at the end of the year. If you’re investing your retirement savings, there are some sectors or asset classes that performed better than others throughout the year. If that’s the case with your portfolio, the percentage you’re at now is probably different from where you started.

Typically, I like to leave it be, but if you’re in a stage of life where you have to be more selective, then being overweight in a risky asset is probably not a good idea. When you review your investment portfolio make sure that you’re still in good shape with regard to your risk tolerance and time horizon, and you’re pleased with your account’s performance.

Set goals for next year

After you review your progress from this year, set your goals for next year. If you saved more than you set out to at the beginning of the year, use the ACTUAL savings as your goal for next year. If you paid off some debt, redirect toward another one.

What happens if you don’t have any more debt? Congratulations! Then make sure your emergency savings are adequate. If it’s sufficient, beef up your retirement savings or something else you’re saving for.

When you’re making your money moves for next year, make sure you’re designating time to assess your progress throughout the year.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

How to Set Investing Goals

December 15, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Saving money for the future is important, but I believe it’s even more important to invest that money and make it work for you. With that said, you can’t just start investing. You need to lay some groundwork first, you need to have goals in mind, and you have to be intentional so that when things get difficult, you stick with the plan instead of abandoning it during the discomfort. Today, we’re going to talk about how to set investing goals.

What kind of goals are there?

There are typically three-goal time horizons: short-term, medium-term, and long-term. A short-term goal is something you plan on achieving in 2-10 years. Saving for a down payment is a pretty common goal that fits into that window. A medium-term goal is 10-20 years. Saving for educational expenses for a child fits into that window. A long-term goal is retirement or anything else that’s 20+ years down the road.

These time windows are my opinion, though I think they’re pretty close to conventional opinion. Also, there are more goals than the ones I listed above.

How to think through your goal-setting

There are three things to keep in mind when you set investing goals (not to mention figuring out the goal itself). How much time do you have? Is this a short-term, medium-term, or long-term goal? Do you have time to take some risks or do you have to play it safe?

Speaking of risk…what are you comfortable with? Usually, this goes hand in hand with how much time you have. A short-term goal like saving for a down payment will need to be invested conservatively, if at all. In this scenario, you’ll have a set price you’re saving for so you can’t take a chance that the market dips and your savings fall below what you need it to be at.

Conversely, when you’re saving for retirement, you’ll have an opportunity to be more aggressive (at least in the beginning) because you have time to make back the money that you’ve potentially lost.

The last part of positioning your portfolio according to your goals is your comfort level/investor psychology. Time horizon and risk tolerance are small factors here, but it’s more about how volatility affects your mind. If the market drops and you’re panicked, maybe you need to be more conservative.

How to invest based on your goals

Here are some thoughts on how to invest based on your goals. If you’re saving for a short-term goal, like a down payment, I wouldn’t even invest it. UNLESS you’re very confident and you’re an expert in the particular field (though that applies to all of the time horizons).

If you’re saving for a medium-term goal, like saving for college, here’s what I’d do. You can be a little aggressive in the beginning because you have time to earn some money back. As you get closer to the end of your window, you’ll need to be more cautious. Maybe start 50/50 (stocks/bonds) and as you get closer, either get out of the market entirely or something like 10/90 or 20/80.

For your long-term goal, you’re able to be more aggressive for a longer period of time. 90/10, 80/20, 70/30, 60/40 all work great here. It depends on what you’re comfortable with. Same as the last one, as you get closer to the end of your window, you need to shift your allocation to be more conservative.

Keep in mind, these are blanket recommendations. I don’t know your situation, so you need to talk to a professional first before you set investing goals and make investment decisions.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

Financial Resolutions: Debt, Savings, Investing, Real Estate, and Crypto

December 8, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

The new year is right around the corner so I thought it fitting to layout some resolutions for a few different financial topics. Here are financial resolutions for crypto, investing, real estate, savings, and debt.

Debt

Pay down or pay off your debt. If you have credit card debt, make it a goal for next year to pay it off completely. The interest rates that credit card companies charge are so brutal. Getting rid of credit card debt would relieve a lot of stress and save you a lot of money that you’re wasting on interest. Not to mention, whatever you’re currently paying towards your credit card can be used for something way more productive.

If all you have is a mortgage, make extra payments. If you have no debt, congratulations! Try and save more so there’s no chance of you going into debt again.

Savings

Would you like to buy a house next year? Save for your down payment. The bigger your down payment is the smaller your responsibility will be; in terms of monthly payments and in terms of total money owed. Especially if your down payment is 20% or more. If that’s the case, you don’t have to pay mortgage insurance (AKA PMI).

If a down payment isn’t something you need to save for, increase your savings rate for retirement. Or set yourself up to cover some unexpected expenses by creating an emergency fund. Do some math, establish a goal number (emergencies, down payment, retirement savings), and then create a plan to save and hit that number.

Investing

For the most part, investing will take place in your retirement account. And for most people, the amount of time you have until retirement is a couple of decades. With that said, you can be a little more aggressive with your investments.

If this description doesn’t fit you, then figure out what works for you. Determine your time horizon, risk tolerance, and what you’d be able to tolerate in terms of short-term losses. If you’d like to get a good idea about what your preference is, take our risk tolerance quiz.

Real Estate

This one is a little challenging because it’s not like you’re going to move once per year. Also, investing in real estate isn’t for everyone. So I’m going to try and hit a few groups with this one.

Buy a new home. If you need more space for your growing family, you got a new job that requires relocation, you want to be closer to your church or family members, then make a move.

Make improvements to your current home to increase the value of your home or to make better use of the space. It can also improve tax credits especially if you use sustainable materials like solar panels. Either way, the improvement has a positive effect on your living situation.

Most people can invest in real estate, they just do it differently. Some people are going to invest in physical properties and some can invest in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT). Either way, you need to be picky (like all investments) so you get a good return on your money.

Crypto

This applies to everything in this post, but especially here…do your homework. I like crypto. I think there are investment opportunities, but I also think there’s a possibility it all collapses. I like the technology it’s created on, but I don’t know how it’ll transform and what the adoptability will be. Invest only what you can afford to lose is my best advice. With all that said, make financial resolutions to get more educated about cryptocurrencies and the blockchain.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

Big Tech Moving Into Finance

November 24, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Big tech wants a bite of the financial services pie. I think technology and finance go hand in hand, but I also think it’s mostly a one-way street, in terms of benefits. Technology has definitely given the financial services industry an upgrade, but the finance industry tends to think of big tech as a threat. Why is that? Today, we’ll take a look at big tech, how they’re changing financial services, and if those big banks actually have something to worry about.

What do you mean by “Big Tech”?

The names you know off the top of your head. Apple and Google to name two, but there are other players that don’t get as much publicity. Cloud storage from Amazon and/or Microsoft. Software companies like Oracle. Chipmakers like Nvidia. Data companies like IBM. There are a lot of moving parts and it’s no surprise, everything uses technology. What’s different about financial services is the regulation, so adoption of new technologies is typically slower.

How tech changed finances

From a consumer standpoint, banking is easy. Checks are deposited directly into your bank account. You use your bank’s app to review expenses and deposit any real checks you may have. Practically all bills are able to be paid electronically. Not to mention you can automate bill payments and transfers. Also, if you want to save for retirement or invest some money, there are several companies that can do it all online (though we always advise you to speak with a person for advice).

Big tech in finance moving forward

Big tech is already offering some financial products. Google has Google Pay, Samsung has Samsung Pay, and Apple has Apple pay. Apple is also working on a Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) offering, but nothing is out yet.

Big tech will be able to compete with legacy financial services companies because they have a competitive advantage. They don’t have the regulatory oversight that current companies do and they have a customer base (and their data) that they can leverage with new offerings.

Parting thoughts

Do I think several big tech companies will come out with financial services offerings? No. I think there will be a select few that come out with some, but I don’t think it’ll be the scale of Wall Street, for example. I think it would behoove big tech and other large companies to remember that being a conglomerate doesn’t work right now. Just this year, there were several companies that split their business up, based on industry (like GE). Could the conglomerate model come back around? Absolutely, but I don’t think now is the time.

Can Public.com Help You Build The Best Stock Portfolio For Your Goals?

November 1, 2021 by Tamila McDonald Leave a Comment

Today, investing is often viewed as a pathway toward financial stability and long-term monetary growth. However, it hasn’t always felt like an accessible option. At Public.com, the company sees things differently. Not only does it strive to make investing something nearly anyone can do. Public.com also aims to help investors make wiser choices. If you’re wondering if Public.com can help you build the best stock portfolio for your goals. Here’s what you need to know.

What Is Public.com?

Public.com – formerly Matador – was founded in 2017. It’s a trading app that allows investors to access stock and ETFs using a fractional share approach. People can buy portions of a stock or ETF instead of entire shares. Thus, making it possible to invest as little as $1 at a time.

Like many similar online brokers and trading apps, Public.com is commission-free. Additionally, there are no account minimums or monthly fees.

However, unlike other brokers, Public.com doesn’t earn money using payment for order flow. Which is a somewhat controversial practice that’s recently been targeted by legislators and scrutinized by the SEC. Instead, it relies on a tipping feature. Users can decide to give Public.com a tip after they execute a trade. Thereby, leaving investors in full control.

Public.com also includes a social feature. Portfolios on the site are public. This way other users can see the activities of all member investors. Additionally, they can communicate with each other. Chat groups are available that can help investors learn more about why various members made certain trade decisions. Plus, it’s possible to create new chat groups to have discussions with family members, friends, or other community members.

Most of the social information is displayed using a social media feed-based approach, making it highly familiar. Along with member posts, the feed showcases information about companies, recent IPOs, and more.

What You Can Invest in on Public.com?

Public.com allows members to invest in a range of stocks and ETFs. Whether investors want a piece of a publicly-traded company or prefer the ETF approach for at least a bit of inherent diversification, they have options. Plus, investors can purchase fractional shares to get started, allowing them to snag a piece of their preferred investment vehicle for as little as $1.

Additionally, Public.com offers some crypto assets. For people interested in crypto, this can make investing simpler by centralizing all of their activity, keeping it on a single platform.

Unique Public.com Features

Aside from the tipped-based financial model and the highly social information sharing strategy, Public.com has some unique features.

For example, members can organize their portfolios visually, separating out their long-term investments from the rest. Once a stock or ETF is in the long-term category, if a user attempts to trade it within one year of acquisition, they’ll get a reminder that their original plan was to hold it longer.

Additionally, Public.com makes learning easy. When viewing an investment option, users can tap on key terms to see a definition. It’s a straightforward way to broaden investing-related vocabulary, ensuring users fully understand what each piece of information means.

Finally, Public.com offers more customer support contact options that you see on many other platforms. Users can use a chat feature to get assistance from a real team member, not just a bot. There are also six other contact methods available, giving users the ability to choose how they want to communicate with a company representative.

Can Public.com Help You Build the Best Stock Portfolio for Your Goals?

Ultimately, Public.com is a robust platform for investors looking for an affordable option for purchasing stocks, ETFs, and crypto-assets. The tip-based approach means the app isn’t a part of the payment for order flow controversy. Additionally, it leaves investors in control, allowing them to contribute as much or as little to the company financially as they choose.

The social approach is also intriguing. While there is no guarantee that advice given by anyone on the platform is sound, it is an interesting way to learn more about investing. Plus, it can make trading feel less intimidating or confusing as there is a large community that’s willing to speak with other members to answer questions or simply talk about their decisions.

Additionally, while Public.com isn’t the only place offering fractional shares, the fact that it’s available works in its favor. Being able to invest with as little as $1 is an attractive option for anyone just starting out, particularly those without a ton of income to direct towards investments.

If you’re looking for a commission-free, no-fee platform that supports fractional shares and would appreciate the social elements, Public.com is definitely worth considering. Just keep in mind that any advice shared by users should always be taken with a grain of salt and that doing your own research is still a must. That way, you can make choices that are ultimately best for you.

Have you used Public.com? Did it help you build a better stock portfolio? Share your thoughts in the comments below.

Tamila McDonald

Tamila McDonald has worked as a Financial Advisor for the military for past 13 years. She has taught Personal Financial classes on every subject from credit, to life insurance, as well as all other aspects of financial management. Mrs. McDonald is an AFCPE Accredited Financial Counselor and has helped her clients to meet their short-term and long-term financial goals.

What Currently Present a Risk to Markets?

September 22, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

Where is the market going? What kind of risks do we need to be aware of? There are three or four things to pay attention to right now. The FED, interest rates, inflation, Covid, China, the government, and geopolitics. Do any of these present a risk to markets?

Okay, more than three or four things, but the first three can all be lumped together. Interest rate policy is enacted by the FED and what happens with interest rates has a direct impact on inflation. Furthermore, the government also has a chance to impact inflation.

And I apologize if we bounce around a little from topic to topic.

The FED, Interest Rates, Inflation

The government and the FED have a lot of control over what inflation is going to do. We had a lot of liquidity injected into the market because of the pandemic, and there’s a very good chance we’ll see more of that in the near future.

A $3.5 trillion bill is circulating through Congress right now. If this bill gets passed, we’ll have a lot more liquidity injected into the market. That’s likely to be a large tailwind for inflation (which is already running much hotter than expected). If the FED continues to provide an accommodative monetary policy, we’ll see inflation get out of control, and they’ll have to increase interest rates much sooner than they had planned.

Covid

Covid is still hanging around. 75% of the country has received at least one shot and now the administration is pushing booster shots. This is even after the CDC and the WHO have insisted on holding off on a third shot until less fortunate countries have a chance to get more of their first poke. The numbers need to level off soon or I fear lockdowns may rear their ugly head, and we all know how much the economy liked that the first time around.

China

China is a new story. Specifically, Evergrande. The ginormous real estate company is on the brink of bankruptcy. Comparisons have been made to the collapse of Lehman Brothers during the GFC (great financial crisis). We’ll see what happens and if the Chinese government decides to step in. Ripple effects through the global monetary system are possible.

Geopolitics

The last story is geopolitics. This has to do with the deal the US and Australia struck to help the Australian government build nuclear-capable submarines. It angered France because they already had a deal with Australia to help them build submarines (not nuclear-capable though). Britain feels pretty good because they helped broker the US/Aussie deal. Most likely, this will end up being only noise but could present a risk to markets. Something to keep your eye on.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

Gold

Crypto

Oil

Inflation

Commodities

Unintended consequences

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

Working from home

Savings rate

Stimulus payments

Personal finance lessons

People saved more money

You don’t need to spend money to have fun

Diversification is important

Get rid of debt

Protect your loved ones

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

What is net worth?

How to increase your assets

How to decrease your liabilities

Is there a net worth number you should hit?

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

Inflation right now

How is it impacting retirees?

Budgeting Strategies

Investment Strategies

High inflation here to stay?

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

Year in review

Set goals for next year

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

What kind of goals are there?

How to think through your goal-setting

How to invest based on your goals

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

Debt

Savings

Investing

Real Estate

Crypto

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Big tech in finance moving forward

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