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6 Alternative Assets to Hedge Against Inflation

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6 Alternative Assets to Hedge Against Inflation
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Inflation can sneak into your finances like an uninvited guest, quietly shrinking purchasing power while your savings struggle to keep up. The usual bank accounts and bonds often feel like shields against nothing when prices climb, leaving people scrambling for smarter ways to protect wealth. Alternative assets offer a compelling solution because they operate outside traditional markets, providing both potential growth and a buffer against rising costs. These unconventional options aren’t just for Wall Street pros—they can become valuable tools in anyone’s financial toolkit.

Exploring alternative assets requires more than just curiosity; it demands strategy, research, and a willingness to consider options that might seem unusual at first. While stocks and bonds dominate most portfolios, diversifying with tangible and non-traditional assets creates resilience when inflation spikes. Each type of asset carries its own advantages, risks, and liquidity considerations, making understanding the landscape crucial.

1. Glittering Gold and Precious Metals

Gold has earned its reputation as the ultimate inflation hedge for centuries, and that status isn’t just historical mythology. When the value of paper money declines, tangible precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum often retain or even grow in value. These metals are universally recognized, highly liquid, and portable, which makes them incredibly versatile for hedging purposes. Collecting coins or bars adds a tactile element to investing, turning a financial strategy into a physical asset that can be stored safely or even gifted.

Silver, while often overshadowed by gold, provides another interesting layer of diversification. Unlike gold, silver tends to have industrial demand, linking it to economic cycles in ways that balance portfolio risk differently. Platinum and palladium, rarer than gold, can add extra upside for investors willing to handle volatility. Investing in metals doesn’t require a full vault at home—ETFs and precious metal funds offer exposure without the storage challenges. Whether acquired physically or digitally, metals remain a steadfast shield against inflation, grounding portfolios when markets wobble.

2. Real Estate That Stands the Test of Time

Property continues to offer an effective hedge against rising prices, but it’s not just about buying a home. Real estate investment trusts (REITs), rental properties, and even vacation homes can generate income while appreciating in value. Inflation often drives up both rent and property prices, meaning owning real estate can counteract the eroding effect of rising costs. Physical property also provides a tangible sense of security that paper assets cannot replicate.

Beyond traditional residential spaces, commercial real estate offers compelling alternatives, from storage units to office spaces repurposed for co-working. Investors benefit from rental income that often escalates alongside inflation, creating a natural buffer. Location matters more than ever—growing markets with strong demand typically deliver both income and appreciation, while stagnant areas carry risk. Real estate remains a long-term play, requiring patience and management, but its dual ability to produce cash flow and hedge against inflation makes it a central alternative asset.

3. Collectibles: From Art to Action Figures

High-quality collectibles have skyrocketed in value over the past decades, turning rare items into a surprisingly reliable inflation shield. Classic paintings, limited-edition sneakers, vintage toys, and rare comic books all represent markets that often move independently of stock and bond fluctuations. Scarcity drives value, and in many cases, demand continues to grow even during economic downturns. Collectibles combine enjoyment and investment, allowing for personal passion to meet financial strategy.

The key to success in this area lies in expertise and authenticity. Provenance, condition, and rarity can make or break an item’s investment potential. Unlike traditional assets, collectibles require active research and careful curation, but the payoff can be impressive. Modern platforms also facilitate buying, selling, and verifying collectibles, reducing some of the friction in these markets. While not every collectible will explode in value, a well-chosen piece can preserve purchasing power while adding a layer of fun to a portfolio.

4. Cryptocurrencies: Digital Gold?

Digital currencies have become a heated topic in wealth protection discussions, offering high volatility but strong inflation hedging potential. Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies are often framed as digital gold due to their limited supply and independence from government-controlled currencies. This makes them attractive during periods when fiat money loses value. Cryptocurrency also provides global accessibility, with the ability to transfer and store value digitally across borders.

That said, crypto carries risk unlike traditional assets. Extreme price swings demand careful strategy, diversification, and risk tolerance. Many investors use small allocations to gain exposure without jeopardizing stability. Other blockchain-based assets, such as Ethereum or stablecoins pegged to tangible value, diversify the digital component of a portfolio. While adoption and regulation evolve, cryptocurrencies remain a modern, exciting alternative for those looking to hedge against inflation while exploring the frontier of finance.

6 Alternative Assets to Hedge Against Inflation
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5. Farmland and Agriculture

Owning farmland might feel old-school, but it’s one of the most direct ways to hedge against inflation because land and food production inherently retain value. Crops, livestock, and timber generate income that often rises with commodity prices, creating both cash flow and long-term appreciation. Farmland has historically delivered steady returns and resilience, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.

Investing doesn’t always require boots in the dirt. Farmland investment platforms and REITs focused on agricultural land allow participation without daily hands-on management. Beyond direct returns, farmland provides tangible security—people need food regardless of inflation rates, and owning productive land creates a natural hedge. Strategic selection, soil quality, and crop types matter for maximizing returns, but agriculture remains a surprisingly powerful alternative asset for forward-thinking investors.

6. Hedge Funds and Private Equity

While traditional portfolios rely on public stocks and bonds, hedge funds and private equity offer access to alternative strategies that aren’t tied to inflation in the same ways. Hedge funds use tactics like short selling, derivatives, and global diversification to generate returns even in uncertain markets. Private equity invests directly in private companies, capturing growth opportunities inaccessible through public trading. Both can act as insulation from inflationary pressures, although they require higher entry thresholds and professional guidance.

These vehicles excel at creating tailored risk-return profiles, with managers adjusting strategies to respond to market fluctuations. Investors benefit from expertise and active management that anticipate inflationary trends before they hit mainstream markets. Diversification across sectors and geographies reduces dependency on any single economy, adding a layer of protection. While access may be limited, incorporating hedge funds or private equity into a portfolio can significantly enhance resilience against inflation.

Inflation Defense Starts Before Prices Spike

Alternative assets aren’t just about novelty—they form a strategic shield for wealth that stretches beyond traditional investments. Combining metals, real estate, collectibles, cryptocurrencies, farmland, and specialized investment vehicles creates a portfolio that can withstand inflation while offering growth opportunities. Timing and research remain essential, but the payoff lies in protection, flexibility, and long-term resilience. A diversified approach ensures that rising costs don’t automatically erode financial security, making wealth preservation both practical and exciting.

Which alternative assets do you think hold the strongest potential to beat inflation, and have you tried any unconventional investments yourself? Share strategies, experiences, or surprising success stories in the comments and start a conversation about creative ways to protect wealth.

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7 Alternative Investments That Outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025

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Here Are 7 Alternative Investments That Outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025
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The stock market does not own every victory lap. While the S&P 500 delivered solid gains in 2025, a handful of alternative investments quietly ran faster, climbed higher, and reminded everyone that opportunity rarely sits in just one corner of the market. Investors who widened their lens beyond mega-cap U.S. equities discovered something powerful: diversification does more than reduce risk. It unlocks upside that traditional portfolios sometimes miss.

Here are seven alternative investments that outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025, along with the reasons behind their surge and what smart investors should take from each one.

1. Gold Reclaimed Its Crown

When inflation anxiety lingers and geopolitical tension rises, gold stops whispering and starts roaring. In 2025, gold prices climbed sharply, pushing past previous highs as central banks continued heavy buying and investors sought protection from currency volatility. Physical gold and gold-focused ETFs both delivered returns that exceeded the S&P 500’s performance.

Unlike growth stocks, gold does not rely on earnings reports or optimistic projections. It thrives on uncertainty. That dynamic fueled its run this year as interest rate cuts arrived slower than many expected and global debt levels continued to expand. Investors looking for ballast in a portfolio found that gold did more than stabilize—it generated meaningful gains. Anyone considering gold should think strategically. Physical bullion, ETFs, and mining stocks each carry different risks and rewards. A small allocation can provide balance without overwhelming growth potential.

2. Private Credit Stepped Into the Spotlight

Banks pulled back on certain types of lending over the past two years, and private credit funds stepped forward. In 2025, many private credit strategies delivered double-digit returns, fueled by higher interest rates and strong demand from mid-sized companies seeking flexible financing.

Unlike public bonds, private credit investments often feature floating rates and negotiated terms that protect lenders when rates remain elevated. That structure allowed private credit funds to generate attractive income while equity markets navigated periodic turbulence. Access remains limited to accredited investors in many cases, but interval funds and publicly traded vehicles have expanded opportunities. Anyone exploring this space should examine fee structures, default rates, and manager track records before committing capital.

3. Energy Infrastructure Quietly Generated Big Gains

Pipelines, storage facilities, and energy transport networks rarely make headlines, yet they generate reliable cash flow. In 2025, energy infrastructure investments benefited from stable demand, disciplined capital spending, and attractive dividend yields. Many master limited partnerships and infrastructure-focused funds outperformed the broader equity market.

Unlike exploration and production companies, infrastructure operators earn revenue based on volume and long-term contracts rather than commodity price swings alone. That stability supported both income and capital appreciation. Investors who want exposure should evaluate tax implications, especially with MLPs, and compare them with infrastructure ETFs that simplify reporting. The appeal lies in steady income paired with growth potential when energy demand remains resilient.

Here Are 7 Alternative Investments That Outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025
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4. Commodities Rode the Supply Tightrope

Industrial metals and agricultural commodities gained momentum in 2025 as supply constraints collided with steady global demand. Copper, often viewed as a barometer for economic activity, rallied on expectations of infrastructure investment and electrification trends. Broader commodity indexes delivered returns that surpassed the S&P 500.

Commodities respond quickly to real-world pressures. Weather disruptions, mining bottlenecks, and geopolitical developments can push prices sharply higher. That volatility cuts both ways, but disciplined exposure through diversified commodity ETFs helped investors capture gains while limiting single-asset risk. Investors should approach commodities as tactical tools rather than permanent core holdings. Allocations often work best when tied to macroeconomic views or inflation hedging strategies.

5. Emerging Market Equities Regained Momentum

After several years of underperformance relative to U.S. stocks, emerging market equities staged a comeback in 2025. Countries with improving fiscal discipline and favorable demographic trends attracted fresh capital. Currency stabilization in key regions also supported returns when translated back into U.S. dollars.

While the S&P 500 concentrates heavily in a handful of mega-cap technology companies, emerging markets offer broader exposure to manufacturing, natural resources, and consumer growth stories. That diversification paid off as valuations started from lower levels and earnings growth surprised to the upside. Investors should remain selective. Political risk and currency fluctuations can shift outcomes quickly. Broad ETFs reduce single-country exposure, while targeted funds allow more precise positioning for those who follow regional trends closely.

6. Real Estate Investment Trusts Found Their Footing

Rising interest rates pressured real estate in prior years, but 2025 brought stabilization and selective strength. Certain Real Estate Investment Trusts, particularly those focused on data centers, industrial logistics, and healthcare facilities, generated returns that beat the S&P 500. Lower rate volatility improved financing conditions and boosted investor confidence in income-producing properties. Meanwhile, demand for data storage and e-commerce infrastructure continued to expand, lifting occupancy rates and rental income.

Investors should focus on sector-specific REITs rather than broad exposure alone. Balance sheets matter. Debt maturity schedules and tenant quality can determine whether a REIT thrives or struggles when economic conditions shift.

7. Art and Collectibles Attracted Serious Capital

High-net-worth investors continued pouring money into fine art, rare watches, and collectible assets in 2025. Auction results for blue-chip artists and limited-edition pieces reached impressive levels, and fractional ownership platforms widened access to this once-exclusive market.

Unlike stocks, collectibles operate on scarcity and cultural relevance. When global wealth expands, demand for tangible status assets often rises alongside it. That dynamic pushed select segments of the art and collectibles market to outperform traditional equities. Liquidity remains limited, and pricing transparency varies. Investors interested in this space should treat it as a long-term allocation and verify authenticity, storage conditions, and insurance coverage before committing funds.

Infrastructure Funds Built Long-Term Wealth

Beyond energy pipelines, broader infrastructure investments gained traction in 2025. Funds focused on transportation networks, renewable energy projects, and utility assets delivered strong, stable returns. Governments and private investors continued financing large-scale projects tied to modernization and energy transition goals.

Infrastructure investments combine income generation with inflation-linked revenue streams in many cases. Toll roads, airports, and renewable facilities often operate under long-term agreements that adjust pricing over time. That structure provided resilience while equities faced valuation concerns.

Publicly traded infrastructure ETFs offer liquidity, while private funds provide access to specific projects. Investors should align choices with time horizons and income needs.

The Bigger Lesson Hiding in Plain Sight

The S&P 500 still commands attention, and it deserves respect as a long-term wealth engine. Yet 2025 delivered a clear message: opportunity expands when portfolios stretch beyond familiar territory. Gold thrived on uncertainty. Private credit monetized higher rates. Infrastructure and commodities responded to real-world demand.

No single asset class dominates every year. Markets rotate. Leadership shifts. Investors who stay flexible, diversify thoughtfully, and evaluate risk with clear eyes position themselves to capture those rotations rather than chase them late.

Which of these alternatives deserves a closer look in your next portfolio adjustment? Let’s talk investing in the comments below.

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Inflation Pulse: 5 Surprising Assets Performing Well While Everything Else Slows Down

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Here Are 5 Surprising Assets Performing Well While Everything Else Slows Down
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Inflation is roaring back into headlines, and suddenly, your wallet feels lighter, your groceries cost more, and your bank account seems like it’s on a diet it didn’t sign up for. Investors and everyday savers alike are asking the same question: what actually holds its value when everything else seems to be slowing down?

Surprisingly, not all assets get dragged down by rising prices and economic jitters. Some perform better than expected, quietly defying the trends and proving that even in turbulent times, there are opportunities to grow—or at least protect—your wealth.

1. Precious Metals Shine Brightly

Gold and silver aren’t just shiny collectibles; they’ve historically been safe havens during inflationary periods. When paper money loses purchasing power, tangible metals maintain value, providing a hedge against rising costs. Silver, in particular, benefits from industrial demand alongside its traditional role as a store of wealth, giving it dual support. Even platinum and palladium have seen interesting movements recently due to supply constraints in automotive and tech sectors. For investors looking for a tried-and-true buffer, precious metals often outperform when broader markets stumble.

2. Real Estate Investment Trusts Hold Ground

While some corners of the real estate market may wobble, certain Real Estate Investment Trusts, or REITs, have shown resilience. Rental income often rises with inflation, and commercial properties in high-demand areas continue to generate consistent returns.

Unlike direct property ownership, REITs provide liquidity and diversification, making them an attractive option during uncertain times. Residential and industrial REITs are particularly notable, as they benefit from housing demand and logistics needs, respectively. For those who want exposure to real estate without the headaches of tenants and maintenance, REITs can outperform other slow-moving investments.

Here Are 5 Surprising Assets Performing Well While Everything Else Slows Down
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3. Inflation-Protected Bonds Offer Steady Gains

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS, may not sound glamorous, but they do exactly what their name promises. As inflation rises, these bonds adjust their principal, ensuring that investors’ purchasing power doesn’t erode over time. Interest payments also rise with inflation, offering a rare combination of stability and growth. While traditional bonds can lose value in a high-inflation environment, TIPS act as a safety net. For conservative investors, they provide peace of mind without sacrificing potential returns.

4. Commodities Beyond Gold Are Surprising Winners

While gold steals the spotlight, other commodities like oil, natural gas, and agricultural products have performed remarkably well in inflationary periods. Rising demand, supply chain constraints, and geopolitical factors can create strong price momentum, even when stocks or bonds are sluggish. Energy commodities are particularly notable as economies continue to rebound and consume more resources. Agricultural products like wheat, corn, and soybeans also benefit from scarcity and higher food prices. Investors looking to diversify their portfolios often find that these tangible goods provide protection while delivering potential gains.

5. Dividend-Paying Stocks Keep Pushing Forward

Stocks that consistently pay dividends have a unique advantage in an inflationary environment. While stock prices may fluctuate, reliable dividends provide a stream of income that can be reinvested or used to offset rising living costs. Companies in essential sectors, like utilities and consumer staples, tend to maintain steady earnings, allowing dividends to remain consistent or even grow. Dividend aristocrats—companies with a long history of increasing dividends—are especially attractive because they combine stability with inflation-adjusted returns. For investors seeking both growth and a cash flow buffer, dividend-paying stocks often outperform the broader market during slowdowns.

Protecting Value While the World Slows

Inflation doesn’t have to feel like a financial trap. By paying attention to assets that maintain or even grow their value when the economy slows, investors can protect their wealth and seize opportunities others might overlook. Precious metals, REITs, inflation-protected bonds, strategic commodities, and dividend-paying stocks all demonstrate surprising resilience in turbulent times.

Have you tried investing in any of these assets, or have you noticed other strategies that work when inflation hits hard?

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10 Gold vs Stocks Lessons You Shouldn’t Ignore

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When it comes to building wealth, the gold vs stocks debate is as old as investing itself. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, understanding the differences between these two popular assets can make a world of difference in your financial journey. Both gold and stocks have their unique strengths and weaknesses, and knowing when—and how—to use each can help you weather market storms, grow your nest egg, and sleep better at night. If you’ve ever wondered whether you should buy more gold, stick with stocks, or find the right balance, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the 10 gold vs stocks lessons you shouldn’t ignore, so you can make smarter, more confident decisions with your money.

1. Gold Shines in Uncertain Times

One of the biggest lessons in the gold vs stocks conversation is that gold often acts as a safe haven during economic uncertainty. When markets get rocky, investors tend to flock to gold because it’s seen as a store of value. Unlike stocks, which can swing wildly with market sentiment, gold’s price often rises when fear takes over. This makes gold a valuable tool for protecting your portfolio during recessions, geopolitical tensions, or inflation scares. For example, during the 2008 financial crisis, gold prices surged while stocks plummeted, highlighting gold’s role as a financial safety net.

2. Stocks Offer Long-Term Growth

While gold is great for stability, stocks are the go-to for long-term growth. Over the decades, the stock market has consistently outperformed gold in terms of returns. Companies grow, pay dividends, and innovate, which can lead to significant wealth accumulation for patient investors. If your goal is to build wealth over the long haul, stocks should play a central role in your portfolio. Just remember, the ride can be bumpy, but history shows that time in the market beats trying to time the market.

3. Diversification Is Your Best Friend

The gold vs stocks debate isn’t about picking one over the other—it’s about balance. Diversifying your investments across different asset classes, including both gold and stocks, can help reduce risk and smooth out returns. When stocks are down, gold might be up, and vice versa. This balancing act can help you avoid big losses and keep your financial plan on track, no matter what the market throws your way.

4. Gold Doesn’t Pay Dividends

Here’s a practical lesson: gold doesn’t generate income. Unlike stocks, which can pay dividends and grow your wealth through compounding, gold just sits there. It may appreciate in value, but you won’t get any cash flow from holding it. If you’re looking for passive income, stocks have a clear advantage. This is an important consideration for retirees or anyone who wants their investments to provide regular payouts.

5. Stocks Are More Accessible

Investing in stocks has never been easier. With just a few clicks, you can buy your favorite companies’ shares or invest in index funds through online brokers. Gold, on the other hand, can be a bit trickier. You can buy physical gold, but then you have to worry about storage and security. Alternatively, you can invest in gold ETFs, which adds another complexity layer. For most people, stocks are simply more accessible and convenient.

6. Inflation Impacts Both—But Differently

Inflation is a key factor in the gold vs stocks discussion. Gold is often touted as a hedge against inflation because its value tends to rise when the purchasing power of money falls. Stocks, however, can also outpace inflation over time, especially if you’re invested in companies that can raise prices and grow profits. The trick is understanding how each asset responds to inflation and using that knowledge to protect your wealth.

7. Volatility Isn’t Always Bad

Stocks are known for their volatility, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. Volatility creates opportunities for savvy investors to buy low and sell high. Gold, while generally less volatile, can still experience sharp price swings, especially during times of crisis. The key is to embrace volatility as part of the investing process and not let short-term swings derail your long-term plan.

8. Gold’s Value Is Largely Psychological

Much of gold’s value comes from perception. People have trusted gold for thousands of years, and that trust gives it staying power. But gold doesn’t produce anything, unlike stocks, which represent ownership in real businesses. Its price is driven by supply, demand, and investor sentiment. Understanding this psychological aspect can help you avoid getting caught up in gold hype and make more rational decisions.

9. Stocks Benefit from Economic Growth

When the economy is booming, stocks usually do well. Companies make more money, hire more workers, and expand their operations. This growth translates into higher stock prices and better returns for investors. Gold, on the other hand, doesn’t benefit directly from economic growth. In fact, it sometimes lags when the economy is strong. If you’re optimistic about the future, stocks are likely to reward you more than gold.

10. Both Have a Place in a Smart Portfolio

The final gold vs stocks lesson is that you don’t have to choose one or the other. Both assets have unique roles to play in a well-rounded portfolio. Gold can provide stability and protection, while stocks offer growth and income. By combining the two, you can create a resilient investment strategy that stands the test of time.

Building Your Financial Future with Confidence

The gold vs stocks debate isn’t about picking a winner—it’s about understanding how each asset fits into your unique financial plan. By learning these lessons and applying them to your situation, you can build a ready portfolio for anything. Whether you lean more toward gold, stocks, or a mix of both, the key is staying informed, balanced, and keeping your long-term goals in sight.

What’s your experience with gold vs stocks? Do you have a preference, or do you use both? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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Investment Risks in the World Today

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The world is crazy right now. The war with Russia and Ukraine has created investment risks and opportunities with commodities, specifically. Inflation is also an issue. What do you do with all of these moving parts in the global economy?

Gold

Gold has only gone up since the war began, up over $2,000 for the first time since 2020. The reason being is that gold is a store of value and is often seen as a safe asset during times of uncertainty, like war, inflation, or a pandemic.

Gold isn’t the only asset that’s used in times of uncertainty. Cash, bonds, and other precious metals have also seen a massive inflow lately.

Crypto

Cryptocurrencies have also seen a run-up in recent weeks, for two reasons. One, some people do see cryptocurrencies as a store of value like gold. And two, cryptocurrencies have played a role in this war. Because Russia has been cut off, financially, from the rest of the world, they’ve used crypto to finance operations. Ukraine has done the same, but for the reason of being able to raise money from different channels.

Oil

The price of oil has been on a roller coaster since the war began. Russia supplies a lot of energy to the world. It supplies the U.S. with just 3% of oil, but it supplies Europe with most of what they use. That said, the price of oil went up very fast to about $125/barrel because the US and other countries blocked them off to further disrupt their finances.

It’s come back down since then thanks to OPEC+. They pledged to increase production to make up for the loss in supply.

Inflation

Inflation is off the charts right now. The most recent reading came in at 7.9%. There are quite a few things that are seeing the effects of it. Food is getting more expensive. Gas, obviously, due to supply constraints and inflation is getting more expensive. Property is also getting more expensive. Interest rates are going up as well. My wife and I refinanced late last year and locked our rate in at 3%. The most recent reading came in at 4.5%.

The FED is going to make some moves as well. Because of the war with Russia and Ukraine, they will take a more measured and conservative approach, so it’s possible that inflation is a problem for longer because the FED won’t hike rates as quickly as they may have previously intended.

Commodities

There are some other commodities, besides gold and other precious metals, that are feeling a pinch due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Wheat is the biggest example of this because between Russia and Ukraine, they produce and ship a third of the world’s wheat.

Unintended consequences

Even though the war is between two countries, it’s affecting everything (though differently than how it’s affecting Russia and Ukraine). There are logistical problems that are delaying shipments of things. The air space above the scuffle is off-limits, so flights around the area are taking longer than they previously would have. Longer flights = more fuel and reduced volume on flights = increased costs.

There are a lot of investment risks and opportunities due to the moving parts in the world right now and the market will continue to be volatile until things settle down. If you have time to ride out some ugly markets, stick to your plan. If you’re in retirement or close to retirement, reducing your risk might not be a bad idea.

Related reading:

How to Invest in Gold: 5 Ways to Get Started

How Inflation is Changing Our Lives and Not for the Better

Weekly Wrap: Crypto Aids Ukraine Putin Aids Inflation and Russian Investments Tank

Safeguarding Your Future: A Comprehensive Review Of Augusta Precious Metals

Disclaimer:

**Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Securities America Advisors, Inc. Securities America and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice; therefore, it is important to coordinate with your tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation. Please see the website for full disclosures: www.crgfinancialservices.com

Inflation, Gold, Semiconductors

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There are a lot of moving parts in the economy right now. Inflation has become a concern, people are looking at gold more as a hedge, and there’s a shortage in semiconductors. In this piece, we’ll explore some of those dynamics and what some of the investment implications are.

Inflation

Inflation will most likely increase. Many projections estimate the FED will meet/beat their target of 2%.

I do believe that an increase in goods and services will not affect demand as it would have in the past. Stimulus payments to consumers created enough excess cash that people didn’t mind, or even notice, an increase in prices.

I do realize I’m painting with a broad brush here, and undoubtedly there will be some that will notice the difference. I’m simply stating that demand will not suffer from price creep as it used to, at least while the government continues writing checks.

Gold

We could see another uptrend in gold. There’s a certain recipe that makes the case for a bullish perspective on gold – inflation pressures, increased money supply, and low-interest rates.

The FED continues to supply the market with liquidity with its asset-buying program. An increase in the money supply dilutes the value of the dollar (USD). When the USD decreases in value, typically gold does well.

There is a caveat to that, however. Demand for US Treasury securities is weakening, specifically from foreign investors. To double down on that, foreign investors are net sellers of Treasuries. There have to be enough buyers to meet Treasury issuance, otherwise, the FED won’t have enough “reserves” to inject liquidity into the system.

With regard to low rates, that is a good sign for gold, but it’s also a good sign for equities (companies) with a high tendency to borrow. I’m mainly looking at the technology sector. Especially these unicorns that have high valuations, but low (or negative) profits.

Semiconductors

There’s also a current market disruption at play here…semiconductor shortage. Demand across many applications are at multi-year, sometimes multi-decade, highs. Personal computers, electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, AI, and the like all use semiconductors.

A semiconductor shortage has many implications:

  • Decrease in production
  • Price increase
  • Nationalist mentality
  • R&D disruption

A decrease in production can hurt the bottom line. It all depends on when the shortage ends. If production reduces enough for a sustained period, adjustments will have to be made by corporations.

A price increase is likely because of supply and demand dynamics. The price of semiconductors will go up, so the price of the products they’re used in will also go up. This could hurt demand for those products and could hurt consumers.

There are a select few companies that supply the majority of the world’s semiconductors. This could have a similar effect as Covid had with regard to supply chain management. Companies relied on global trade and cooperation to sustain their supply chain operations. When countries shut down due to the pandemic, global trade suffered as a result. Countries might shift to manufacturing their own semiconductors instead of relying on supply from trading partners.

Semiconductors are only getting less expensive and more efficient. With a shortage, and possibly less money coming into the manufacturers, it’s possible that this dynamic of cheaper and better plateaus…at least temporarily. It’s also possible that the shortage improves operations and makes the manufacturers more agile. Some countries have a very unique ability to progress, strengthen, and adapt when a roadblock presents itself.

With that said, I believe semiconductors will be a great investment opportunity. Their demand is only going to increase because of the push to provide the world with electric vehicles and clean energy. I would, however, pay attention to the shortage and I might wait until that shortage ends and prices stabilize.

Related reading:

Does Economic Inflation Favor Borrowers or Lenders?

Is Gold a Good Investment?

What You Can Learn from Different Market Environments

 

**Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Securities America Advisors, Inc. Securities America and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice; therefore, it is important to coordinate with your tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation. Please see the website for full disclosures: www.crgfinancialservices.com

The FED, The Dollar, and Opportunities

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My post for today was supposed to be a personal reflection, but in lieu of that, I’m going to lay out my thoughts on the market and the economy. Which includes the FED, the dollar, and inflation. In addition to that, I want to explain where I see risks and opportunities right now.

The dollar

We can expect the Federal Reserve to continue an accommodative monetary policy. They will invest in the fixed income market and they’ll resume the low-interest-rate stance.

If they continue this response to the Covid crisis, the dollar should go down in value. There are some risks and opportunities that arise if that happens.

Gold and cryptocurrencies should increase in value. A devaluing in the dollar is, normally, the right landscape for “alternative currencies” to do well.

International securities, especially emerging markets, do well when the value is priced lower. A large majority of international transactions take place using the USD. The value of their home currency goes up in relation to the USD.

The technology sector also has a negative correlation to a falling dollar. When the dollar goes down, that sector tends to outperform.

If the dollar, indeed, goes down look at these areas for possible investment opportunities.

The FED

As I mentioned earlier, the FED will continue to create an accommodative environment for the economy…until they don’t.

At some point, the recovery will gain momentum. GDP will go up and the population will gain confidence in that recovery. At this juncture, inflation will pop onto people’s radars.

If inflation runs too hot, the FED could possibly stop, or reduce, QE. They could halt the bond-buying program and they could raise rates. If that happens, keep your eyes out for a pullback.

We saw this happen at the end of 2018. The FED started raising rates until they went too far, and we had a 20%-25% decline in Q4. Then they reversed course and began easing again. We had a run-up in the market until March of 2020 when Covid hit.

Long term

I believe tech and healthcare will be the two sectors to watch over the next decade or more. With technology getting more advanced every day, investment opportunities will present themselves in these two areas.

Green energy, especially with the incoming administration, is also an industry with big potential. Technology will play a large role in the advancement of renewable energy.

My biggest concern

And I’ll preface this by saying I’m concerned because I truly don’t know the implications of it. MMT looks as likely as ever at this point.

The favorable stance by the FED plus the democratic party holding the House, the Senate, and the Presidency leads me to believe printing money is going to pop off.

An aggressive agenda to provide relief for Americans struggling because of Covid, a push for expanded Medicare/Medicaid benefits, possible student debt relief, as well as other initiatives.

It appears that reducing the national debt is not a concern. To be fair, it wasn’t a concern for the Trump administration either.

The bill comes due for everyone, and if other countries (namely China) are no longer buying US Treasuries like they were, I do not know how we can fund policies, branches, or even service the existing debt. Only time will tell.

Conclusion

I will close by saying that these are my opinions. Granted, I do a lot of research to come to these conclusions, but what I said above are still my thoughts and not foregone conclusions. Do your own research.

Related reading:

How to Beat Inflation with Investment

What Makes Gold so Valuable

 

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What Makes Gold So Valuable?

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why is gold so valuable

At some point, every would-be or current investor hears that they should consider adding gold to their portfolio. Gold often has a substantial amount of allure, a psychological impact that affects how people perceive its value, stemming back to ancient times when it was highly coveted. It’s also viewed as a form of safe haven, an investment that remains stable even during tumultuous times. If you are wondering what makes gold so valuable, and if its value is deserved, here’s a look at it from an investment perspective.

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