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Investment Risks in the World Today

March 16, 2022 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

The world is crazy right now. The war with Russia and Ukraine has created investment risks and opportunities with commodities, specifically. Inflation is also an issue. What do you do with all of these moving parts in the global economy?

Gold

Gold has only gone up since the war began, up over $2,000 for the first time since 2020. The reason being is that gold is a store of value and is often seen as a safe asset during times of uncertainty, like war, inflation, or a pandemic.

Gold isn’t the only asset that’s used in times of uncertainty. Cash, bonds, and other precious metals have also seen a massive inflow lately.

Crypto

Cryptocurrencies have also seen a run-up in recent weeks, for two reasons. One, some people do see cryptocurrencies as a store of value like gold. And two, cryptocurrencies have played a role in this war. Because Russia has been cut off, financially, from the rest of the world, they’ve used crypto to finance operations. Ukraine has done the same, but for the reason of being able to raise money from different channels.

Oil

The price of oil has been on a roller coaster since the war began. Russia supplies a lot of energy to the world. It supplies the U.S. with just 3% of oil, but it supplies Europe with most of what they use. That said, the price of oil went up very fast to about $125/barrel because the US and other countries blocked them off to further disrupt their finances.

It’s come back down since then thanks to OPEC+. They pledged to increase production to make up for the loss in supply.

Inflation

Inflation is off the charts right now. The most recent reading came in at 7.9%. There are quite a few things that are seeing the effects of it. Food is getting more expensive. Gas, obviously, due to supply constraints and inflation is getting more expensive. Property is also getting more expensive. Interest rates are going up as well. My wife and I refinanced late last year and locked our rate in at 3%. The most recent reading came in at 4.5%.

The FED is going to make some moves as well. Because of the war with Russia and Ukraine, they will take a more measured and conservative approach, so it’s possible that inflation is a problem for longer because the FED won’t hike rates as quickly as they may have previously intended.

Commodities

There are some other commodities, besides gold and other precious metals, that are feeling a pinch due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Wheat is the biggest example of this because between Russia and Ukraine, they produce and ship a third of the world’s wheat.

Unintended consequences

Even though the war is between two countries, it’s affecting everything (though differently than how it’s affecting Russia and Ukraine). There are logistical problems that are delaying shipments of things. The air space above the scuffle is off-limits, so flights around the area are taking longer than they previously would have. Longer flights = more fuel and reduced volume on flights = increased costs.

There are a lot of investment risks and opportunities due to the moving parts in the world right now and the market will continue to be volatile until things settle down. If you have time to ride out some ugly markets, stick to your plan. If you’re in retirement or close to retirement, reducing your risk might not be a bad idea.

Disclaimer:

**Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Securities America Advisors, Inc. Securities America and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice; therefore, it is important to coordinate with your tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation. Please see the website for full disclosures: www.crgfinancialservices.com

Jacob Sensiba

My name is Jacob Sensiba and I am a Financial Advisor. My areas of expertise include, but are not limited to, retirement planning, budgets, and wealth management. Please feel free to contact me at: jacob@crgfinancialservices.com

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

Financial Resolutions: Debt, Savings, Investing, Real Estate, and Crypto

December 8, 2021 by Jacob Sensiba Leave a Comment

The new year is right around the corner so I thought it fitting to layout some resolutions for a few different financial topics. Here are financial resolutions for crypto, investing, real estate, savings, and debt.

Debt

Pay down or pay off your debt. If you have credit card debt, make it a goal for next year to pay it off completely. The interest rates that credit card companies charge are so brutal. Getting rid of credit card debt would relieve a lot of stress and save you a lot of money that you’re wasting on interest. Not to mention, whatever you’re currently paying towards your credit card can be used for something way more productive.

If all you have is a mortgage, make extra payments. If you have no debt, congratulations! Try and save more so there’s no chance of you going into debt again.

Savings

Would you like to buy a house next year? Save for your down payment. The bigger your down payment is the smaller your responsibility will be; in terms of monthly payments and in terms of total money owed. Especially if your down payment is 20% or more. If that’s the case, you don’t have to pay mortgage insurance (AKA PMI).

If a down payment isn’t something you need to save for, increase your savings rate for retirement. Or set yourself up to cover some unexpected expenses by creating an emergency fund. Do some math, establish a goal number (emergencies, down payment, retirement savings), and then create a plan to save and hit that number.

Investing

For the most part, investing will take place in your retirement account. And for most people, the amount of time you have until retirement is a couple of decades. With that said, you can be a little more aggressive with your investments.

If this description doesn’t fit you, then figure out what works for you. Determine your time horizon, risk tolerance, and what you’d be able to tolerate in terms of short-term losses. If you’d like to get a good idea about what your preference is, take our risk tolerance quiz.

Real Estate

This one is a little challenging because it’s not like you’re going to move once per year. Also, investing in real estate isn’t for everyone. So I’m going to try and hit a few groups with this one.

Buy a new home. If you need more space for your growing family, you got a new job that requires relocation, you want to be closer to your church or family members, then make a move.

Make improvements to your current home to increase the value of your home or to make better use of the space. It can also improve tax credits especially if you use sustainable materials like solar panels. Either way, the improvement has a positive effect on your living situation.

Most people can invest in real estate, they just do it differently. Some people are going to invest in physical properties and some can invest in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT). Either way, you need to be picky (like all investments) so you get a good return on your money.

Crypto

This applies to everything in this post, but especially here…do your homework. I like crypto. I think there are investment opportunities, but I also think there’s a possibility it all collapses. I like the technology it’s created on, but I don’t know how it’ll transform and what the adoptability will be. Invest only what you can afford to lose is my best advice. With all that said, make financial resolutions to get more educated about cryptocurrencies and the blockchain.

Disclaimer:

Jacob Sensiba

www.crgfinancialservices.com/

What Do You Do When Things Go Wrong? – 2 Guys and Your Money

March 4, 2013 by Average Joe 12 Comments

Have shows come automatically to your iPod! Use the 2 Guys iTunes page here.

Listen to shows on your smartphone! Try the Stitcher app here.

30 episodes and going strong! To celebrate, we’re bringing our best show yet.

OG lost a computer last week, forcing him to take a week off from the podcast (thanks to Doug for filling in!). That means that it’s a good week to talk about risk management… What can go wrong? What should you do about it? Joe & OG tackle some lessons gleaned from Hollywood stars who’ve lost fortunes, PK discusses credit, Lance from Money, Life & More and Greg from Club Thrifty join Joe to discuss covering your bases with insurance, and finally, we give you our Top 5 Ways to Protect Your Portfolio.

As usual, show notes will fill in throughout the day Monday

2 Guys & Your Money Show 30: Notes

<> Open

<1:50> H&R Block offer: Save 15% on your tax prep!

<4:56> Lessons learned from stars who’ve run into money trouble

<15:58> PK’s Fractional Sense: Credit

1 in 20 have a catastrophic error on their credit report

Link in PK’s segment: annualcreditreport.com

<23:54> Shortwave: Lance from Money, Life & More and Greg from Club Thrifty join us to discuss contingency planning.

Don’t want to sit at your computer and listen to the show? Take it with you! Use either iTunes or Stitcher to listen to the show on the go.

Link to the 2 Guys iTunes page here. Listen on the Stitcher app here.

<40:11> Let’s Give Something Away

Our March Giveaway is Here! This month win one of Laura Vanderkam’s eBooks.

Link to our Giveaway

<> Top 5 Ways to Protect Your Portfolio

OG Top 5

5) Create a system to monitor your portfolio

4) Options (writing covered calls)

3) Stop loss

2) Diversification. Proper asset allocation

1) Nothing. We are our own worst enemy.

Joe Top 5

5) Dollar Cost Averaging

4) Rebalance

3) Scheduled meetings

2) Options (buying puts)

1) Stop loss

<> End: Films

– OG – Flight

– Joe – House of Cards

Investment Risks in the World Today

Gold

Crypto

Oil

Inflation

Commodities

Unintended consequences

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

Financial Resolutions: Debt, Savings, Investing, Real Estate, and Crypto

Debt

Savings

Investing

Real Estate

Crypto

Related reading:

Disclaimer:

What Do You Do When Things Go Wrong? – 2 Guys and Your Money

2 Guys & Your Money Show 30: Notes

Link to our Giveaway